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Housing is flashing warning signs just as the Fed weighs more interest rate hikes

The U.S. housing market weakened further in September even as price pressures persisted, complicating the Federal Reserve's decisions on whether to raise interest rates. The 30-year mortgage rate was above 7% for most of September and ended the month around 7.6%, and could rise further if the Fed hikes short-term rates as expected. The National Association of Realtors' pending sales index fell 7.3% for the month and was 11.3% lower than a year earlier, an all-time low in records dating to 2001. Privately owned housing starts dropped 5.2% on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, far worse than the expected 0.4% decline, while Goldman Sachs expects affordability pressures to dominate the housing market in 2027.

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