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Is Broadcom Stock Too Dependent On One Business?

AI chips made up 56% of Broadcom's revenue in fiscal Q3 2026, up from 49% in fiscal Q2, mostly from custom chips for customers such as Google, Meta and OpenAI. AI chip revenue reached $16.7 billion, up 221% year over year, while infrastructure software and other chips grew much more slowly. Management guided fiscal Q4 2026 revenue to $34.8 billion, including $21.7 billion from AI chips, which would be about 62% of sales, though this is a forecast. Adjusted gross margin fell 210 basis points to 75% as AI chips grew in the mix, and management expects about 73% in fiscal Q4 due to more memory in custom chips, while operating income rose 92%. Anthropic is expected to become the largest custom chip customer in 2027 and OpenAI the second largest in 2028, and the stock fell 21.0% from April 27 to October 26, 2026 including dividends, versus a 7.6% gain for the S&P 500.

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