Newmont (NEM) shares fell 4% today despite record third-quarter results, with adjusted EPS of $2.20 beating the $1.94 consensus by 13%. Gold slid nearly 3% on Thursday to about $4,020 an ounce, its lowest since early August, and briefly dipped below $4,000 this morning, dragging down the stock and the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). Newmont sold gold at an average of $4,317 an ounce in the quarter, but its 2026 guidance assumes $4,500, and fourth-quarter AISC is expected to rise to $1,900 an ounce as development spending on the Red Chris project increases by about $500 million next year. At $4,000 gold and $1,900 AISC, the company would keep about $2,100 an ounce, close to its 2025 level, though the author expects 2027–2028 estimates to drift lower if gold stays near $4,000. The author argues the selloff is overdone, with the stock trading around 11x forward earnings versus a five-year average of 16x.
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Related tickers and likely impact
XAU/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: high
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/22/2026 | 4,024.59 |
| Change that session | -2.82% |
PAXG/USDT
▼ Likely negativePAX Gold
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Real-world assets |
| Market cap | $1.8B |
| Close on 10/22/2026 | 4,036.10 |
| Change that session | -2.23% |
XAUT/USDT
▼ Likely negativeTether Gold
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Real-world assets |
| Market cap | $3.4B |
| Close on 10/22/2026 | 4,030.01 |
| Change that session | -2.29% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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Newmont reported a stable third quarter, generating $1.9 billion of free cash flow in the quarter and $7.3 billion over the first nine months of 2026. The company returned about $1.9 billion to shareholders and improved its full-year all-in sustaining cost outlook to approximately $1,520 per ounce, while gold all-in sustaining costs were $1,454 per ounce in the third quarter. It expects fourth-quarter gold production of 1.4 million ounces, its strongest quarter of 2026, but all-in sustaining costs are expected to rise to about $1,900 per ounce due to the timing of sustaining capital, lower silver co-product credits at Peñasquito and fuel costs. Total portfolio production is projected to rise by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage in 2027, and a funding decision on the Red Chris Block Cave project is expected early next year, with commercial production targeted for 2033.
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