The article predicts the S&P 500 will finish 2026 up at least 10%, which would be a fourth straight double-digit annual gain, a feat achieved only three times since 1929. As of writing, the index was around 7,714, up nearly 13% from its 2025 close of 6,845.50, and needs to end the year above about 7,530 to reach the 10% mark. Since 1950, the index has risen from Oct. 20 to year-end in 59 of 76 years, though it fell more than the 2.4% cushion in six of them. The author expects a fourth straight gain but notes that all five past streaks ended with a losing year and that the outcome depends on factors like interest rates and corporate earnings, so a fourth straight year should not be taken as a reason to buy or sell the index.
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SPY
▲ Likely positiveSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/21/2026 | 773.09 |
| Change that session | +0.53% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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