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Investors look to earnings to reset the bull market. The key level to watch on the S&P 500

The S&P 500 remains in an uptrend but is chopping around a flat 50-day moving average, a level first reached 11 weeks ago. AI-hardware stocks have sold off sharply, bank shares are trading poorly after results, credit markets are under strain, and the Nasdaq has retreated 5%. JP Morgan's Jason Hunter leans cautious, saying a further drop of about 2.5% to 7500 would cost the market the benefit of the doubt. The article recalls 2018, when the S&P 500 fell 19% in the fourth quarter of a midterm year even as earnings grew more than 20%, while tightening now comes from higher Treasury yields, wider credit spreads and a stronger dollar. Bank of America's Aditya Bhave maintains a non-consensus call for an October Fed rate hike, while Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson argues Chairman Warsh should acknowledge the tightening.

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