Palantir shares closed at a record $209.05 on Oct. 9 and were around $198 when the article was written. Second-quarter revenue rose 93% to about $1.94 billion, and management expects about $8.15 billion in 2026 revenue, up 82%. The author predicts trailing four-quarter revenue could reach $10 billion around mid-2027, when the stock could trade near $208 if the price-to-sales multiple falls to 50 times. That multiple is currently about 77 times, down from about 128 times a year earlier. The author flags the main risk as growth slowing faster than guidance implies, which could push the multiple lower faster, noting the stock shed about 34% in the first half of 2026 alone.
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