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Stock investors are ready to move on from the AI rout. Credit investors are not

AI stocks rallied on Monday and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1%, but CoreWeave closed slightly lower and hit a 52-week low as investors remained concerned about its debt. CoreWeave’s 9.625% bond due 2032 had a 14.9% yield to maturity, and its five-year credit default swap (CDS) spread stood at about 1,082 basis points, above the 1,000 level generally seen as a sign of distress. Oracle’s five-year CDS spread widened to 315 basis points, up 311% from a year earlier, even as its shares rose 1% after a 9% drop last week. Goldman Sachs said dispersion is widening across AI-related high-yield bonds, with neoclouds and firms with significant frontier lab exposure at the center of funding-cost concerns. Economist David Rosenberg called Oracle the “canary in the coal mine,” citing its roughly $132 billion of net debt and BBB- rating, and said a downgrade to junk would be the clearest sign of contagion.

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