News · Yahoo Finance

Tesla is trading more like SpaceX than a car company

Tesla (TSLA) has recently moved much more in step with SpaceX (SPCX): over the past 20 sessions, their correlation is 0.64, versus 0.15 in SpaceX's first 20 sessions after its June IPO. By contrast, Tesla's correlation with GM and Ford is negative, at -0.10 and -0.14. Since Elon Musk first hinted at a combination of the two companies, Tesla has risen about 4% through Tuesday, while GM and Ford have each fallen more than 11%. After removing Nasdaq 100 moves, the leftover correlation between Tesla and SpaceX is 0.32, which the article links to merger trading; SpaceX is valued at about $2.25 trillion versus about $1.52 trillion for Tesla. Options are pricing a 5.4% move after Tesla's third-quarter report, while Tesla's actual median post-earnings move since 2023 has been closer to 10% in either direction.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on Yahoo Finance ↗

Keywords

TSLASpaceXmergers and acquisitionsElon Musk

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

TSLA

• Neutral

Tesla, Inc.

Relevance: low

MarketUS stocks
SectorConsumer Discretionary
IndustryAutomobile Manufacturers
Market cap$1.4T
Close on 10/20/2026373.77
Change that session+1.55%
TSLA price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • How a SpaceX and Tesla Merger Would Reshape Musk’s AI Empire

    Elon Musk said the boards of SpaceX and Tesla have each formed special committees of independent directors to study a merger, though no terms have been agreed. A combined company valued at roughly $3.5 trillion would own the Grok chatbot, X, Starlink, the Terafab chip project, the Starmind orbital data center plan, and Tesla’s robotaxi and Optimus businesses. Any deal needs backing from 50% of all outstanding Tesla shares, which Musk called “quite a high hurdle,” and Tesla’s annual meeting is set for December 3. SpaceX reported third-quarter revenue of $14.58 billion, above the $12.72 billion analysts expected, while Musk warned that assuming a merger is certain “would be overstating it.”

    Yahoo Finance·• TSLATSLASpaceXmergers and acquisitions
  • Update: Equities Rise Intraday as Markets Parse SpaceX Earnings, Potential Merger With TeslaYahoo Finance·• TSLA▲ SPYTSLASPYSpaceX
  • Cold Water: Tesla and SpaceX Merger “Won’t Add Much Value” per Gary Black

    Gary Black, managing partner of The Future Fund, argues that an all-stock Tesla–SpaceX deal at about $420 per Tesla share, roughly 10% above the current price, would add little value. Tesla trades at 191.6x forward earnings, well above its three-year average of 135.1x and above SpaceX's multiple, so the combined company would likely be valued at SpaceX's lower level. Tesla's normalized EPS fell from $3.12 in fiscal 2023 to $1.66 in fiscal 2025, with analysts expecting $2.17 in fiscal 2027. Musk said special committees at both companies are studying the idea and that he thinks it would be a good idea, but no terms have been agreed.

    Yahoo Finance·▼ TSLATSLASpaceXmergers and acquisitions
  • Altimeter's Gerstner Puts $420–$550 Range On Tesla In Potential SpaceX Merger

    Altimeter Capital CEO Brad Gerstner said a Tesla–SpaceX merger could price Tesla shares at roughly $420 to $550. He argued that the special committee reviewing any deal would likely seek a control premium above the usual 20–30% to protect Tesla shareholders from conflicts and lawsuits, given Elon Musk's large stakes in both firms. Gerstner cited scale as the core rationale: SpaceX is deploying 200,000 GB300 chips per month and targets 10 gigawatts of capacity next year, requiring hundreds of billions of dollars that a combined balance sheet could fund more easily. Musk said on SpaceX's third-quarter earnings call that a merger should not be assumed to be a certainty, though he views it as a good idea that would need broad shareholder support. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment on SPCX turned bullish while TSLA is down 14% year to date; SPCX trades near $159, above its $135 IPO price.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ TSLATSLASpaceXmergers and acquisitions
  • SpaceX, Tesla Boards Study Possible $3.5 Trillion Merger

    Elon Musk has openly backed a possible merger of SpaceX and Tesla, which would be the biggest corporate merger ever. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Sana Pashankar said it seems more a matter of when than if, though the outcome depends on shareholder support, particularly at Tesla. Sources suggest the companies may want to close a deal within the current administration given a favorable regulatory environment, though timing remains hard to predict. On earnings, SpaceX beat estimates for net income and revenue, driven by Starlink sales to government and business customers and its AI business leasing computing capacity to other AI firms, while losses narrowed from the previous quarter. Greater adoption of Grok also contributed to the improvement.

    Yahoo Finance·• TSLAmergers and acquisitionsSpaceXTSLA
  • Musk's SpaceX-Tesla Merger Would Create a Bitcoin Treasury Behemoth

    Elon Musk said the boards of SpaceX and Tesla have formed special committees of independent directors to weigh a merger, while cautioning that a deal is not a certainty. Combined, the two would hold 30,221 BTC, worth roughly $2.5 billion at a Bitcoin price near $83,000, making it one of the largest non-mining corporate Bitcoin treasuries. Tesla reported 11,509 BTC in its latest quarterly filing, while SpaceX disclosed 18,712 BTC in its S-1 ahead of its June IPO, a stash largely invisible to public markets and more than double previous blockchain-tracker estimates. The combined cost basis is around $1 billion, implying an average buy price near $35,000 per coin. A merger would not change Bitcoin itself but would alter governance and accounting, placing the holdings in one public company subject to quarterly disclosures; neither company has signaled plans to buy or sell.

    Decrypt·▲ TSLA▲ BTC/USDTTSLAbitcoinmergers and acquisitions

Related markets

US stocks →

Latest news

  • BlackBerry Jumps 6% as Record QNX Backlog Extends Rally, Now Up 149% YTD; Mobileye Drops 4%, Aptiv Dips

    BlackBerry stock rose 6% to $9.45 in afternoon trading after the company said its QNX unit’s royalty backlog exceeded $1.2 billion, a record, and the stock is up 149% year to date. Management credited growing adoption of the QNX Software Development Platform and the first deal for Alloy Kore, which it called the largest design win in QNX’s history, along with wins in robotics, industrial automation and medical devices. Over the same period, Mobileye fell 4% to $7 and Aptiv slipped 0.6% to $44.79, while the Global X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF rose 0.1%. The article explains that QNX earns licensing royalties as vehicle programs enter production, whereas Mobileye and Aptiv carry heavier hardware content. The key question now is whether the backlog converts into royalty revenue on schedule, which depends on when automakers move programs into production.

    Yahoo Finance·BlackBerrysoftwareself-driving cars
  • On October 22, how much interest would 100 million VND earn after 24 months at 7 banks?

    Based on listed rates for a 24-month term with interest paid at maturity, VPBank offers the highest counter rate at 6.9% per year (VND 13.8 million in interest), followed by MB at 6.5% (VND 13 million) and Sacombank at 6.2% (VND 12.4 million). Techcombank has the lowest counter rate in the compared group at 4.85% per year, or VND 9.7 million. For online deposits, Sacombank leads at 7.3% per year (VND 14.6 million), followed by VPBank at 7.1% (VND 14.2 million), while HDBank pays 5% (VND 10 million) and Techcombank 5.35% (VND 10.7 million); ACB has no 24-month online rate data. The rates are compiled from bank rate schedules, apply to specific products and deposit amounts, and may change over time or by agreement with depositors.

    CafeF·interest ratessavings accountsbanks
  • TeraWulf Jumps 8% as CEO Says Power Demand Remains ‘Extremely Strong’; Applied Digital Surges 9%, IREN Climbs 6%

    TeraWulf shares rose 8% to $12.95 in afternoon trading after CEO Paul B. Prager wrote on X that demand for power “remains extremely strong,” that the company’s site is “energized” to meet it, and that shareholders would not be diluted. He said customers would likely need outside funding but TeraWulf would not take on that financial risk, and that the next data center building at Lake Mariner, leased to Fluidstack, is on track for delivery this quarter. Applied Digital rose 9% to $21.17 and IREN climbed 6% to $28.11, while the CoinShares Bitcoin Mining and Digital Power ETF gained 3% to $32.43 against a 0.6% rise in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. The article links the rally to power scarcity, including Elon Musk’s comment on the earnings call that the infrastructure to supply and cool electrical equipment is “somewhat of a limiting factor” for superintelligence. The next test for TeraWulf is whether the Lake Mariner building is delivered on schedule this quarter.

    Yahoo Finance·TeraWulfdata centerselectricity
  • Why Pegasystems Stock Dropped After Earnings

    Pegasystems shares slipped 3.6% by 1:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday after the company reported Q3 results well below analyst forecasts. Analysts expected $0.49 per share on $421.8 million in sales, but Pegasystems earned $0.35 per share on a non-GAAP basis with sales below $393.4 million, and GAAP earnings were only $0.08 per share. Sales grew 3% year over year, GAAP profit fell 68%, and annual contract value rose 6%, which CEO Alan Trefler and CFO Ken Stillwell cited as grounds for confidence. The article argues free cash flow matters more to investors: the company generated $490 million last year and is running at about $438 million annualized, and Stillwell projects $700 million or more by 2028. The article calculates that this would imply near-term free cash flow growth north of 25%.

    Yahoo Finance·Pegasystemsearningssoftware
  • Salesforce (CRM) vs Oracle (ORCL): Which Is a Better Stock to Buy?

    Salesforce closed at $242.45 on October 19 and gained 30.2% over six months, versus 8.7% for the State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, while Oracle closed at $129.59 after losing more than a quarter of its value over the same period. The article describes Salesforce’s customer records and workflows as hard to replace, with $14.4 billion of free cash flow in its last fiscal year, but notes slow growth, with revenue up 10.80% last quarter, and a deal announced October 20 to buy Braze for $5.66 billion. Its seat-based pricing could be a risk if AI agents take on work that staff used to do. Oracle grew revenue 29.60% last quarter at a 35.63% operating margin, supported by database support contracts, but its build-out of AI computing capacity carries debt equal to 251.72% of equity and levered free cash flow of negative $45.85 billion over the past year. The article adds that renting computing capacity earns a thinner margin than licensing software.

    Yahoo Finance·SalesforceOraclesoftware
  • Chinese Stocks BABA, JD, PDD Slide After Hong Kong Tech Index Falls Below 4,000, Even As US Market Edges Higher

    U.S.-listed Chinese internet stocks Alibaba (BABA), JD.com (JD) and PDD Holdings (PDD) fell about 3.6%, 3.8% and 3.5% midday Wednesday, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose. The Hang Seng Tech Index dropped 1.26% to 3,994.77, below 4,000 and its lowest since October 2024, while the Hang Seng closed 0.9% lower at 23,651.87. The KraneShares China Internet ETF (KWEB) lost about 2.5%, as U.S. tech stocks advanced on AI interest and news about SpaceX and Tesla. SPCX rose about 8% after reporting 161% revenue growth in the third quarter, and Musk said both companies had formed special committees to discuss a possible merger. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield was near 5.1%, and Alibaba had reported a 75% profit decline for the June quarter.

    Yahoo Finance·ChinaHong KongAlibaba

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.