An analysis argues that the sharp fall in gold and silver prices masks a deeper change in the market. Gold hit a record in late January 2026 at $5,608 an ounce on one spot reading, and by mid-October traded near $4,112, about 27% lower. Silver touched $121.62 on 29 January and then fell to around $56. Central banks bought 288.9 tonnes of gold in April–June, the highest second-quarter total on record and 62% above a year earlier, even as gold lost 14% in that quarter. Silver's sixth straight annual supply deficit widened to 46.3 million ounces from 40.3 million, despite a 53% price decline. The author sees gold returning to a reserve role and silver's shortfall driven by industrial demand, but the text cuts off before its full argument.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
Read the original on zerohedge.com ↗
Related tickers and likely impact
XAU/USD
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: medium
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 4,165.63 |
| Change that session | -0.13% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- Gold Slips, Dollar Gains, Yields Edge Up
- Iran warns US and Israel
Iran's Armed Forces Chief of Staff, Major General Ali Abdollahi, warned on October 18 that the US and Israel would face a far harsher response if they continue actions Tehran considers provocative. He said Tehran is awaiting their next moves and that Iran's armed forces remain ready for any scenario. Tehran accuses Washington and Tel Aviv of trying to weaken its government, and tensions have risen since earlier conflicts, including a 12-day war. Iran says it will not back down under external pressure.
- Inflation risks are rising as oil shock lingers, Macklem says
Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem said inflation risks are rising as high energy prices persist, with the conflict ongoing, shipments curtailed and refinery capacity damaged. Inflation has been above the bank's two per cent target since May and was at three per cent in July and August, and economists largely expect it to edge up again in September as Brent and WTI crude hover around US$100 per barrel. A higher reading could increase pressure on the bank to raise its overnight rate, currently at 2.25 per cent, for the first time in a year. Macklem said the bank has so far looked through the direct impact of oil prices but is prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed.
- Cook Case Tests The Limits Of Fed Independence
President Trump has renewed his push to remove Federal Reserve Board member Lisa Cook over alleged false statements on mortgage applications, and a White House committee will question her next month. This follows a first attempt that the Supreme Court blocked in June. The author argues the case tests central bank independence, saying evidence that insulation from politics lowers inflation is mixed, and that the Fed exercises substantial executive power without answering to voters. Citing the worst inflation in four decades after COVID-19 and the lack of consequences for officials, the author argues poor Fed performance carries no penalty. Cook, on the Board since May 2022, formally objected when the Fed rescinded its climate guidance. The author calls for a simpler, accountable mandate and eventually a monetary rule to limit officials' discretion.
- Silver Funds Grab 5M oz Off $55 as Gold Stalls Near $4 , 200
- US Treasury yields nudge higher as AI fears ebb
Related markets
Latest news
- Is Nvidia Stock Really Trading for Just 8 Times 2030 Earnings?
Nvidia is the market's most valuable company, with a market cap above $5 trillion. It trades at 27 times adjusted trailing earnings, but only about 8 times analysts' estimate for fiscal 2030 earnings, a figure the author stresses is a moving target. Revenue growth accelerated from 56% in Q2 FY 2026 to 106% in Q2 FY 2027, though guidance points to a slight slowdown in the current quarter. The stock trades at 13 times next year's earnings, and the board recently authorized a record $150 billion in share repurchases. The author also acknowledges risks such as slower growth or contracting net margins.
- US Orders Civilian Agencies to Rip DeepSeek Out of Government Systems
The U.S. Department of Homeland Security on Monday ordered civilian federal agencies to remove DeepSeek products and third-party services built on the model from their IT systems, and to stop buying them. The notice warns that using DeepSeek may transfer sensitive data to China and could produce intelligence on U.S. persons and agencies. The Commerce Department, the Navy, and the states of New York, Tennessee and Virginia had already restricted DeepSeek. The FCC votes on October 29 on barring Chinese labs from testing electronics for U.S. use.
- Tesla-SpaceX merger is 'not so easy': Analyst
Speculation about a possible merger between SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) has grown on Wall Street in recent weeks. RBC Capital Markets analyst Tom Narayan says it would not be simple: SpaceX would have to acquire Tesla, likely in an all-stock deal, and would need to pay a strong premium. He sets a $480 price target for Tesla, while the shares trade near $367. The longer-term focus may be Terafab, Elon Musk's chip initiative aimed at cutting production costs by up to 90% and bypassing Nvidia and TSMC. Musk currently controls 85% of SpaceX's voting rights and 20% of Tesla's.
- Is Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Priced Right?
Chip stocks fell sharply last week, and Nvidia (NVDA) dropped nearly 2% as investors worried that heavily indebted AI companies would face higher borrowing costs after bond yields jumped for CoreWeave, a cloud company Nvidia backs. CoreWeave shares had fallen more than 15% the day before. Nvidia's own numbers show no sign of that stress: it sold $96.2 billion of chips and systems in the quarter ended July, up 106% from a year earlier, mostly from data center sales. Its net profit margin was 63.66% over the past 12 months, and management expects $108.0 billion in revenue next quarter, assuming no data center sales to China. The key risk is whether customers can keep paying for chips if interest rates stay high, and the planned partnerships to bring over $500 billion of outside capital into AI infrastructure have not yet become definitive agreements.
- Networking Stocks Rally as Tech Rebound Lifts AI Gear Makers: Ciena and Arista Climb 4%, but Cisco Barely Moves
Networking stocks rallied with the tech rebound as suppliers of AI data center gear drew buying: Ciena (CIEN) rose 4% to $347.48 and Arista Networks (ANET) climbed 4% to $183.32, well ahead of the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) at 1.29% and the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) at 1.31%, while Cisco (CSCO) was practically unchanged at $107.06. Ciena's fiscal Q3 2026 adjusted EPS was $2.11 against a $1.73 consensus, with revenue up 37% year over year to $1.67 billion, and it raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $6.42 billion. Its backlog reached $8.5 billion, but supply remains the limit, and management does not expect the market to return to balance before 2028. Two customers made up 41.7% of Q3 revenue, so Ciena's growth is concentrated. The next test is whether Ciena can hit its fiscal Q4 2026 revenue guidance of $1.75 billion under tight component supply.
- Gartner Predicts “80% of Neoclouds” Out of Business by 2030: Here’s Who Wins
Gartner forecast on October 14 that more than 80% of neoclouds will stop operating independently by 2030, and CoreWeave (CRWV) fell 25% last week. The article argues that hyperscalers funding AI capacity from their own cash flow, led by Amazon and Alphabet, are likely winners as credit tightens for indebted neoclouds. Amazon generated $140 billion of operating cash flow in fiscal 2025, more than covering $132 billion of capex, while CoreWeave's total debt reached $29.8 billion. Since their July 29 closing low, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon are up 15.6%, compared with 1.6% for IREN, CoreWeave and Nebius. Hyperscaler earnings in the coming weeks will need to show whether sold-out capacity is turning into results.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.