Gold Slips, Dollar Gains, Yields Edge Up

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• Will the Fed Raise Rates This Month? Here's What Markets Say.

  The latest CPI report showed September inflation came in hotter than expected: headline CPI rose 3.7% year over year and 0.6% from August, while core CPI rose 2.6% year over year and 0.3% monthly. This suggests the Fed could hike for a second straight time at its Oct. 27-28 meeting. However, futures traders price an 85.1% chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.75% to 4% in October and a 74.1% chance it resumes hiking in early December. The two-year Treasury yield has eased to 4.73% from 4.93% in September, signaling lower expectations for hikes, though it remains above the current rate. The author notes that stocks tend to perform better when the Fed moves slowly, and sees new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, in the role since May, as an incrementalist.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 13:42▲ DXY▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDFedinterest ratesgold
• Gold Edges Up As Oil Prices , Yields Dip

  Spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,171.62 an ounce and U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to $4,190.15, as market expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in October diminished. The dollar held firm while the euro weakened after nationwide protests in France over living costs turned violent. Treasury yields fell after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh expressed optimism about U.S. economic resilience and AI's impact on growth and productivity.

  rttnews.com·19/10, 10:30▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▲ XAU/USD▼ DXYgoldFedKevin Warsh
• Gold Prices Rise Above $4,200 in Futures Trading as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Ease

  Gold rose above $4,200 an ounce in US futures on Monday as traders scaled back expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike after comments from Chair Kevin Warsh. Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,180.29, while US gold futures rose 0.5% to $4,200.92. The implied probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the next meeting fell below 20%, after US inflation data released the previous week exceeded expectations. Silver, platinum and palladium also gained, while the US Dollar Index was roughly flat at 101.80. ANZ maintains a positive long-term view and expects gold to rise above $5,000 an ounce during 2027, though elevated bond yields and a strong dollar could pressure prices in the near term.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 09:12▲ XAU/USD▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▼ DXYgoldXAUUSDFed
• Higher for longer : why low rates are relics of the past

  Mortgage holders should expect interest rates to stay higher for longer, whether or not the Reserve Bank lifts them again. The RBA warns that competition for global capital from AI and data centre companies is pushing up its estimate of the neutral rate, and Christopher Kent said evidence suggests neutral rates are rising in Australia and abroad. At 4.6%, the cash rate is the highest in 15 years; markets have scaled back expectations of a November hike, but another rise by mid-2027 is nearly fully priced in and rates are not expected to fall below current levels by mid-2028. Commonwealth Bank’s Luke Yeaman argues that heavy government and AI-company spending makes rates less effective, so the RBA would have to hit households harder, and that loose fiscal policy would force even tighter monetary policy. Federal government spending reached 26.9% of GDP in 2025/26, the highest in 40 years excluding COVID-19, and HSBC’s Paul Bloxham urges further spending cuts in the mid-year fiscal update due in December.

  blayneychronicle.com.au·19/10, 08:45▲ DXY▼ XAU/USDinterest ratesUS dollargold
• Gold remains supported as real yields fall amid growth concerns . What to watch next ?investinglive.com·19/10, 08:15▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▲ XAU/USD▼ DXYgoldXAUUSDUS dollar
• Gold and Silver Prices Plummet This Week

  According to the India Bullion and Jewellers Association (IBJA), gold fell by ₹3,000 and silver by over ₹10,000 this week. The 24-carat gold price dropped to ₹1,46,426 per 10 grams from ₹1,49,430, and silver fell to ₹2,10,918 per kilogram from ₹2,21,109. Internationally, gold is around $4,186 per ounce and silver about $57. Experts attribute the decline to rising crude oil prices, which strengthened the dollar, and to the prospect of higher interest rates due to inflation, which prompted investors to sell.

  udaipurkiran.com·18/10, 04:45▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDgoldsilverUS dollar

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• Has VinFast found the 'chicken' to solve Vietnam's auto industry's toughest dilemma?

  Vietnam's auto industry has long been stuck in a chicken-and-egg dilemma: low output discourages suppliers from investing, while a weak supporting industry keeps costs high. The article argues that VinFast's growing output could create the stable demand suppliers have been waiting for. VinFast delivered 196,919 electric vehicles globally in 2025, up 102%, including 46,977 VF 3s, and in the first nine months of the year it delivered 42,272 VF 3s and 40,018 Limo Green vehicles in Vietnam alone. The company said it added 55 domestic suppliers and localized 108 component groups in one year, and opened supply opportunities for its plants in India and Indonesia. However, suppliers still need stable, long-term orders, as well as competitive quality, cost and logistics, before they can commit to new investment.

  CafeF·19/10, 18:53• VICVinFastelectric vehiclesVietnam
• Crushed tech stocks bounce — plus, new doctor survey keeps us positive on Lilly

  U.S. stocks rose Monday as investors bought chip stocks after last week's sell-off, and the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) was on track to snap a nine-session losing streak, its worst since May 2006. The bounce was tepid: the Nasdaq rose 1%, while CoreWeave turned negative and fell to a new low for the year below $60 per share. Oil rose about $2 to around $103 per barrel, lifting inflation worries and pushing Treasury yields higher. Bank of America raised its price target on Eli Lilly to $1,397 from $1,341 after a physician survey suggested oral GLP-1 pills and Medicare coverage are expanding the obesity drug market, with Foundayo at 27% of U.S. oral GLP-1 new starts. Lilly reports Q3 earnings on Oct. 29.

  CNBC·19/10, 18:52▲ QQQ▲ SPYtech stockssemiconductorsoil prices
• American Airlines Is Now Down 23% This Year: Is AAL Stock Dead Money or Due for a Bounce?

  American Airlines shares are down 23% year to date at $11.87, lagging United (down 14%), Delta (up 8%), the U.S. Global Jets ETF (down 8%) and the S&P 500 (up 13%). Higher fuel costs drove the drop: in Q2 2026 revenue rose 16.3% to $16.7 billion, but aircraft fuel expense jumped 83.3% to $4.9 billion, operating margin fell to 2.7% from 7.9%, and net income dropped 88.2% to $71 million. Management cut its full-year adjusted outlook to a range from a loss of $0.65 to a profit of $0.65 per share, and guided to a Q3 adjusted loss of $0.70 to $0.10 per share. Premium revenue per unit rose 13.4% and managed corporate business grew 26%, but the company carries a stockholders' deficit of $3.97 billion and total debt of $34.7 billion. The article says the stock could rebound if fuel prices ease, and Q3 results are expected on October 22.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 18:51American Airlinesfuel pricesaviation
• Chevron Just Hit a Record High. Is the Stock Still a Buy?

  Chevron hit a record closing high of $222.04 on Oct. 14 and is trading about a dollar below that, up 45% in 2026. Brent crude is just under $106, 46% above its level before the war in the Persian Gulf, and Chevron is positioned to benefit from a Venezuela deal giving the U.S. control of more than 65 billion barrels of proven reserves, as it was the only American major to keep operating there after 1999. The company is also expanding in the Eastern Mediterranean, with seismic work planned off Greece. Second-quarter net income reached $12.1 billion, nearly 400% above a year earlier, beating estimates by $0.50 a share at $6.06. The author believes the stock is still a buy, with 20 of 25 covering analysts rating it Buy or Strong Buy ahead of the Oct. 30 Q3 report.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 18:50Chevronoil pricesVenezuela
• Carvana Is Now Down 31% This Year: Is CVNA a Toxic Stock or Ready to Rally?

  Carvana shares are down 31% year to date at $58.11, while CarMax is up 34%, AutoNation is down 23%, and the SPDR S&P Retail ETF is up 3%. In Q2 2026 Carvana sold a record 197,325 retail units, up 38%, on $7.38 billion in revenue, but gross profit per unit fell $412 and adjusted EBITDA margin slipped to 10.4% from 12.4%. Long-term debt of $4.85 billion and rising benchmark rates also squeezed financing profit. The company raised its full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $2.7 billion to $3 billion and targets 3 million cars a year at a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030 to 2035. The article says the Q3 report due later this month will show whether profit per vehicle improves.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 18:47Carvanaretailinterest rates
• Microsoft Walks Away From AI Data Center Deal, but SemiAnalysis Predicts 50-GW Boom in 2027

  According to new research from SemiAnalysis, more than 24 gigawatts of data center capacity is already in advanced construction across 40 campuses, most of it expected to come online in 2027. The research firm forecasts 50 gigawatts of new capacity.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 18:46• MSFT▲ NVDAdata centersartificial intelligenceMSFT