News · CafeF

When the USD Takes Center Stage in Q4 2026: What Should Businesses Prepare for in Foreign Currency Receipts and Payments?

The USD/VND exchange rate is expected to remain volatile in Q4 2026, driven by US monetary policy, inflation, energy prices and geopolitics. Citing the General Statistics Office, goods trade in the first nine months of 2026 reached $888.02 billion, up 30.4%, with imports up 36.7% and a trade deficit of $19.42 billion. Foreign currency demand for trade typically rises toward year-end, while USD supply may be supported by export receipts, foreign investment disbursements and remittances. The article advises businesses to review their foreign currency receipt and payment schedules, prepare multiple exchange rate scenarios, consider partial hedging and consult banks early.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Original headline: Khi USD là tâm điểm quý IV/2026: Doanh nghiệp cần chuẩn bị gì cho các khoản thu chi ngoại tệ?

Read the original on CafeF ↗

Keywords

US dollarexchange ratesbusinesses

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

DXY

• Neutral

Relevance: low

MarketCurrencies
Close on 10/21/2026101.70
Change that session0.00%
DXY price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • “Businesses may suffer losses when paying at a time of sharp exchange rate swings”

    Huỳnh Duy Sang, Director of Financial Markets at ACB, said that although the exchange rate has been relatively stable over the full year since early 2026, short-term swings can still pose risks to importers and exporters. An importer paying when the rate rises may face higher costs, while an exporter receiving payment at an unfavorable rate may see lower converted revenue. He noted that year-end pressure could emerge as import demand rises, while US interest rates and the Fed's policy path remain variables to watch. He advised businesses to build hedging plans aligned with their business cycles, and to consider tools such as FX forwards to lock in rates for expected foreign currency flows.

    CafeF·exchange ratesbusinesses
  • Fed Preview: On Hold in October, Hiking Resumes Lateractionforex.com·▲ DXY▼ AUD/USD▼ EUR/USD▼ GBP/USDFedinterest ratesUS dollar
  • Dollar Trades Near 101 . 70 as 10 - Year Treasury Yield Falls Intraday

    The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) traded near 101.70 in Asian trading on October 22, while Reuters reported a New York reading of 101.82, up 0.14%. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield fell intraday to 4.96% on Thursday, according to AP, from 5.13% late Wednesday. Treasury's daily par-yield series put the 10-year at 5.13% on October 21, below 5.28% on October 7 but above 5.12% on October 20. Futures pricing still pointed to a possible December rate increase, with probabilities of about 88% per Reuters and about 90% per FXStreet. The Fed raised its target range by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4% on September 16, and its next policy decision is due October 28.

    econotimes.com·▼ DXY▲ EUR/USD▲ XAU/USDUS dollarbondsexchange rates
  • Yen rallies as dollar wobbles toward Fed meetingmvariety.com·▼ DXY▼ USD/JPYexchange ratesUS dollarFed
  • Ringgit ends easier vs US dollar , major currencies ahead of FOMC meeting

    The ringgit closed lower against the US dollar and other major currencies on Thursday as investors stayed cautious ahead of next week's two-day FOMC meeting, amid declines in US Treasury yields and the US Dollar Index. At 6 pm, the ringgit stood at 4.0815/0850 against the greenback, down from Wednesday's close of 4.0790/0825.

    thestar.com.my·• DXYexchange ratesUS dollarFed
  • Asia FX mixed, dollar slips near 3-wk low as traders eye central bank meetings

    The US Dollar Index edged down 0.2% to 101.58, its lowest since October 1, as lower Treasury yields and gains in other major currencies weighed on the greenback, while Asian currencies were mixed. Investors are watching the Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan and European Central Bank decisions due between October 28 and 30, with the Fed widely expected to hold rates at 3.75%-4.00%. The yen's USD/JPY fell 0.3% amid expectations of a BOJ hold and the threat of currency intervention, while the yuan stayed near four-year lows. The Indian rupee has strengthened for nine consecutive sessions through Wednesday, helped by RBI measures aimed at curbing speculative dollar demand, though elevated oil prices remain a risk. The Australian dollar's AUD/USD edged down 0.1% after four sessions of gains.

    Yahoo Finance·▼ DXY▲ AUD/USD▲ EUR/USD▲ GBP/USDUS dollarexchange ratesFed

Related markets

Currencies →

Latest news

  • Bank Profits Surge

    The 9-month 2026 results show many banks continued to grow profits, with some posting record quarterly earnings. VPBank's pre-tax profit reached nearly VND 30,000 billion, up nearly 47%, equal to its full-year 2025 result and about 72.4% of its 2026 plan; Q3 pre-tax profit topped VND 11,000 billion. Techcombank posted VND 28,900 billion (up 23.7%), while LPBank reported VND 10,421 billion (up nearly 9%). SSI forecasts pre-tax profit of its monitored banks to rise 19.5% in 2026 before slowing to 15.4% in 2027, pressured by narrowing net interest margins and rising credit risk provisions. It also expects system-wide credit growth of 16-17% in 2027 and 17.9% for the monitored banks.

    CafeF·▲ VNINDEXbanksearningscredit
  • World's Largest Gold Fund Dumps Over 10 Tonnes of Gold as Prices Slide

    SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold fund, continued net selling of nearly 12 tonnes of gold in the 22/10 session, bringing total sales over 2 sessions to nearly 15 tonnes and cutting its holdings to about 1,046 tonnes. Spot gold fell more than 2.8% to around USD 4,025 per ounce at the close of 22/10, and briefly dipped below USD 4,000 per ounce in the morning session of 23/10. Tensions in the Middle East pushed crude oil prices higher, raising concerns about inflation and further Fed tightening, and gold has still not attracted sustained safe-haven demand even as US Treasury yields fell. US September CPI rose 0.6% month on month and 3.7% year on year, while PPI rose 1.3% and 6.3%. Markets price about an 84% chance the Fed holds rates steady at its 27-28/10 meeting and a 16% chance of a 25 basis-point increase; September PCE data due on 29/10 is the next key factor to watch.

    CafeF·▼ XAU/USD▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDTgoldinflationFed
  • Gold Prices Continue to Fall

    On the morning of 23/10, domestic gold prices kept falling, with SJC bar prices varying by seller and the premium over world gold widening. Công ty TNHH Vàng bạc đá quý Sài Gòn listed SJC bars at VND 139-142 million per tael (buy-sell), down VND 300,000; Phú Quý was at VND 138-141.8 million, down VND 500,000; and Mi Hồng at VND 140-141.5 million, down VND 800,000. Gold rings also fell by varying amounts, with DOJI at VND 138-142 million and Phú Quý at VND 138-141 million per tael. World gold dropped USD 129 to around USD 3,992 per ounce, equal to about VND 125.3 million per tael, leaving SJC bars about VND 16.7 million per tael above the world price. The State Bank's central rate was set at 25,627 VND/USD, down 5 dong, while Vietcombank quoted 25,660-26,040 VND/USD (buy-sell).

    CafeF·▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDgoldexchange ratesState Bank of Vietnam
  • Company Linked to Billionaire Pham Nhat Vuong Announces Major Good News

    VEFAC (ticker VEF), a Vingroup subsidiary, posted Q3 net revenue of nearly VND 77 billion, up 67% year on year, but a gross loss of about VND 27 billion as cost of sales from its exhibition business exceeded revenue. Q3 profit rose mainly thanks to a gross gain of about VND 65 billion from transferring some schools in a project to a partner, while financial income reached over VND 388 billion, mostly from loan and investment income. For the first nine months of 2026, after-tax profit was nearly VND 865 billion, down about 94% from VND 15,418 billion in the same period of 2025, as the prior year included large gains from transferring part of the Vinhomes Global Gate project. As of 30/9/2026, total assets stood at over VND 31,905 billion, up 36% from the start of the year, while total liabilities exceeded VND 24,364 billion, with short-term customer advances rising from VND 411 billion to over VND 8,373 billion.

    CafeF·▲ VHM▲ VICreal estateearningsVietnam
  • Lotte and Phat Dat Officially Break Ground on VND 60,000 Billion Mega Project in Thu Thiem 'Golden Land'

    A joint venture between Lotte Group (South Korea) and Phát Đạt (HoSE: PDR) officially broke ground on 23/10 on Lotte Eco Smart City Thu Thiem in the Thu Thiem New Urban Area, HCMC, with total investment of about VND 60,000 billion. The project covers nearly 7.5 ha and will combine Grade A offices, retail, services, accommodation and housing, adjoining the central plaza and central lake of Thu Thiem. Phát Đạt holds 35% of Lotte Properties HCMC, the project developer, and will develop the housing blocks along with two towers (2-1 and 2-3) with about 219,722 m2 of floor area, while Lotte handles block 2-5. Lotte Properties HCMC paid VND 17,569 billion in land-use fees on 31/7/2026, and Phát Đạt completed its VND 7,666 billion payment to take its 35% stake. MB is funding all of Phát Đạt's capital contribution, while VietinBank and BIDV also support the project.

    CafeF·▲ PDRreal estatehousingbanks
  • International Business : Global stocks nosedive as Meta dents AI optimism

    Global stocks retreated as tech earnings failed to ease concerns about the AI outlook, with MSCI's All-World index set for its largest daily fall in two weeks, down 0.4 per cent. Meta beat third-quarter revenue expectations, but its plan to issue non-voting stock revived worries about its mounting capital commitments, and a New Mexico judge ordered it to pay a $25 billion penalty in a data privacy case. Brent crude rose nearly 3% to $112 a barrel, near a five-month high, after more Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia raised supply risks. Investors moved into government bonds, pushing the US 10-year yield down to 5.05%, below France's for the first time in 13 years, while French yields have climbed above 5% amid concerns over social unrest and debt. The France-Germany 10-year spread reached 177.7 basis points, its widest since 2011, while gold fell 1.8% to $4,070 an ounce.

    gdnonline.com·▼ META▼ QQQ▼ SPY▼ NVDAtech stocksoil pricesbonds

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.