The latest CPI report showed September inflation came in hotter than expected: headline CPI rose 3.7% year over year and 0.6% from August, while core CPI rose 2.6% year over year and 0.3% monthly. This suggests the Fed could hike for a second straight time at its Oct. 27-28 meeting. However, futures traders price an 85.1% chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.75% to 4% in October and a 74.1% chance it resumes hiking in early December. The two-year Treasury yield has eased to 4.73% from 4.93% in September, signaling lower expectations for hikes, though it remains above the current rate. The author notes that stocks tend to perform better when the Fed moves slowly, and sees new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, in the role since May, as an incrementalist.
Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: high
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 101.78 |
| Change that session | -0.20% |
PAXG/USDT
▼ Likely negativePAX Gold
Relevance: high
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Real-world assets |
| Market cap | $1.8B |
| Close on 10/18/2026 | 4,178.90 |
| Change that session | +0.57% |
XAUT/USDT
▼ Likely negativeTether Gold
Relevance: high
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Real-world assets |
| Market cap | $3.4B |
| Close on 10/18/2026 | 4,178.07 |
| Change that session | +0.60% |
XAU/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: high
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 4,165.63 |
| Change that session | -0.13% |
EUR/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: medium
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 1.12393 |
| Change that session | +0.16% |
GBP/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: medium
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 1.33306 |
| Change that session | +0.41% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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