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Blue Wave Puts Tesla’s SpaceX Merger Premium at Risk as Democrats Eye Musk’s Companies

Tesla and SpaceX (SPCX) each fell 4% in early trading after Democrats won control of the House and Senate. Congress has no vote on the Tesla–SpaceX merger, but hearings and subpoenas could slow a deal that needs nearly 1.98 billion yes votes out of 3.953 billion Tesla shares outstanding. Musk gave $446 million during the 2026 midterm cycle, and Democrats have threatened to investigate his DOGE tenure and federal contracts. Gary Black put a fair premium at 20–25%, but warned that arbitrage traders could push down SPCX’s price and the deal premium after an announcement. At 189x forward earnings, Tesla trades well above its three-year average of 137x.

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MarketUS stocks
SectorConsumer Discretionary
IndustryAutomobile Manufacturers
Market cap$1.6T
Close on 11/03/2026398.22
Change that session-1.39%
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