News · Yahoo Finance

Prediction: Anthropic Will Be Worth More Than Bitcoin by the End of the Year. On Polymarket, the Current Odds Are 79%.

According to Polymarket, traders give a 79% chance that Anthropic will be valued above Bitcoin, which has a market cap of $1.6 trillion, within the next 60 days. The author outlines two views: supporters point to Anthropic's $16.8 billion in revenue in its most recent quarter, analysts' projection of $200 billion in annual revenue by 2028, and the fact that Bitcoin generates no revenue. Skeptics argue that AI is in a speculative bubble, that Anthropic has not yet found a way to become profitable, that revenue could plateau if corporate AI spending pulls back, and that a low-cost competitor from China could change the picture. Bitcoin, the author notes, has survived market cycles since 2009, while the Polymarket odds have risen from 20% in April to close to 80% now.

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