US stocks
MSFT: price today and chart
MSFT at the 16:00 New York close, adjusted for dividends and splits.
Performance
All time: since 11/22/2006, the first session in Upside data.
Key data
| Previous close | 535.07 |
|---|---|
| Open | 538.07 |
| Session range | |
| 52-week range | |
| Average daily range (ATR 20) | 2.15% |
| Annualised volatility (1 year) | 32.4% |
| All-time high | 549.95 · 07/31/2025 |
| All-time low | 12.09 · 03/06/2009 |
| Data since | 11/22/2006 |
Data: Twelve Data, prices adjusted for dividends and splits.
Technical indicators
Common indicators on daily candles after the latest session, summarised the usual way: oscillators in oversold territory read bullish, overbought read bearish; a price above a moving average reads bullish.
- Bullish
- 2
- Neutral
- 2
- Bearish
- 2
- Bullish
- 12
- Neutral
- 2
- Bearish
- 2
- Bullish
- 10
- Neutral
- 0
- Bearish
- 0
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 69.94 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 87.63 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | 149.29 | Bearish |
| Williams %R (14) | -3.01 | Bearish |
| Momentum (10) | 31.97 | Bullish |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 11.63 | Bullish |
| ADX (14), trend strength | 40.06 | Neutral |
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Simple moving average (10) | 523.53 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (10) | 525.11 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (20) | 511.89 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (20) | 515.95 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (50) | 501.68 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (50) | 493.23 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (100) | 450.07 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (100) | 468.11 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (200) | 432.86 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (200) | 452.84 | Bullish |
Monthly returns
Change from one month-end close to the next over the last five years. The current month runs to the latest session.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -11.0% | -8.6% | -5.7% | +10.2% | +10.7% | -17.2% | +24.6% | +9.4% | +1.1% | +5.5% | ||
| 2025 | -1.5% | -4.2% | -5.4% | +5.3% | +16.7% | +8.0% | +7.3% | -4.9% | +2.2% | 0.0% | -4.8% | -1.7% |
| 2024 | +5.7% | +4.2% | +1.7% | -7.5% | +6.8% | +7.7% | -6.4% | -0.1% | +3.2% | -5.6% | +4.4% | -0.5% |
| 2023 | +3.3% | +0.9% | +15.6% | +6.6% | +7.1% | +3.7% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -3.7% | +7.1% | +12.3% | -0.8% |
| 2022 | -7.5% | -3.7% | +3.2% | -10.0% | -1.8% | -5.5% | +9.3% | -6.7% | -10.9% | -0.3% | +10.2% | -6.0% |
| Average | -2.2% | -2.3% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +7.9% | -0.7% | +6.7% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +1.3% | +5.5% | -2.2% |
| Months up | 40% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 80% | 60% | 60% | 20% | 60% | 40% | 75% | 0% |
MSFT news
All news →- Syndax Pharmaceuticals (SNDX) Is Down 7.2% After Axatilimab IPF Trial Misses Endpoint Has The Bull Case Changed?
Syndax said its MAXPIRe Phase 2 trial of axatilimab in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis failed to meet its primary endpoint of slowing lung function decline, so it will halt further IPF development for the drug while other trials continue. Safety in IPF was comparable to placebo, and ongoing studies and the approved chronic GVHD use of Niktimvo are unaffected. The article views the setback as a narrowing of axatilimab's opportunity rather than a franchise-level issue, with Revuforj and Niktimvo still the core commercial pillars. However, Syndax remains loss-making and spends roughly US$400 million a year on R&D and SG&A, so revenue growth is the key factor to watch.
- GFI Builds Eloquens® AI Directly Into GFI KerioConnect®, Bringing an AI Email Assistant to More Than 30,000 Organizations That Run Their Own Mail
GFI Software has built its Eloquens AI assistant directly into GFI KerioConnect, the mail and collaboration server used by more than 30,000 organizations, announced in Prague on October 13, 2026. The feature targets organizations that run their own mail to control data, meet regulations or keep costs down, rather than moving to cloud services such as Microsoft 365 Copilot or Gmail’s Gemini. Eloquens AI sorts incoming messages within minutes: newsletters and notifications go to a “No Reply Needed” folder, decisions stay labeled in the inbox, and routine questions receive draft replies in the user’s own voice, each with its reasoning. It stays off until an administrator enables it, keeps mail on the customer’s own server, can be applied to selected mailboxes and turned off at any time, and offers a 30-day free trial with one click, which managed service providers can also offer to their customers.
- Microsoft Now Has 3 Generations of Its Own AI Chips. Nvidia Is Still the Chip Stock to Buy.
Microsoft has announced Maia 300, its third-generation in-house AI chip, and plans to ramp up Maia from 2027 as the primary inference system for its own products. Microsoft estimates Maia 300 will generate 40% more tokens per megawatt than top GPU-based systems, though this is its own projection, and it still plans to deploy Nvidia's next-generation Vera Rubin systems. Nvidia's fiscal Q2 2027 revenue reached $96.2 billion, up 106% year over year, while spending by hyperscale customers more than doubled to $48.7 billion. The author argues that custom chips like Maia may take some work from Nvidia, but the stock, about 6% below its October 6 record close, does not appear priced as if Nvidia will keep all of it. It trades at roughly 14 times the average analyst earnings estimate for fiscal 2028, compared with about 23 times for Microsoft's fiscal 2028.
- Why Palo Alto Networks (PANW) Stock Is Falling Today
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares fell 4.7% in the afternoon session after Phillip Securities downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy with a $346 price target, about 17% below the previous close of $418.78. Analyst Alif Fahmi called the shares stretched at 97 times earnings versus a historical average of 54 times, while keeping an 'overweight' view on software and naming Microsoft, Oracle, Palantir and Snowflake as preferred names. The stock had gained 5.1% in the prior session and more than 120% in 2026 so far. The article links the drop to profit-taking after the year-to-date rally, with shares closing at $403.81, down 3.6%.
- Microsoft Sues JLL For Protection Against Lawsuit At NYC Office Project
Microsoft has sued brokerage JLL in New York County Supreme Court, seeking coverage for legal costs tied to a 2023 forklift accident during the build-out of its 150K SF office at 122 Fifth Ave. According to the complaint, JLL, the project manager, agreed to add Microsoft to its $10M liability insurance but did not, and refused to cover Microsoft after construction worker Anyello Frayind sued over permanent injuries from the forklift. JLL argued that the forklift operator's employer and Frayind were working on a separate project inside the building, but Microsoft says that claim is “factually incorrect, was made without investigation and was not in good faith.” The building is owned by The Bromley Cos., which redeveloped it at a cost of $100M in conjunction with Microsoft's arrival, according to the New York Post.
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Upside forecast for MSFT
How forecasts are made →Forecast after the 10/12/2026 session
1 session
LONGLONG · expects a rise
- Rise
- 38%
- Flat
- 32%
- Fall
- 31%
| Expected return | +0.09% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 541.19 |
| Stop loss | 523.88 |
| Take profit | 570.04 |
| Valid until | 10/13/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Medium confidence · Unchanged
5 sessions
LONGLONG · expects a rise
- Rise
- 44%
- Flat
- 28%
- Fall
- 28%
| Expected return | +0.46% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 541.19 |
| Stop loss | 502.49 |
| Take profit | 605.70 |
| Valid until | 10/19/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
20 sessions
LONGLONG · expects a rise
- Rise
- 50%
- Flat
- 28%
- Fall
- 22%
| Expected return | +1.80% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 541.19 |
| Stop loss | 463.78 |
| Take profit | 670.20 |
| Valid until | 11/09/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
60 sessions
LONGLONG · expects a rise
- Rise
- 61%
- Flat
- 23%
- Fall
- 17%
| Expected return | +5.20% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 541.19 |
| Stop loss | 407.12 |
| Take profit | 764.65 |
| Valid until | 01/07/2027 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
How each strategy sees it
Probability of a rise and of a fall from every strategy at the latest session. The signal follows only the strategy in use; the others are tracked to see whether any of them does better.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rateTrusted | ↑38% ↓31% | ↑44% ↓28% | ↑50% ↓22% | ↑61% ↓17% |
| Momentum | ↑36% ↓32% | ↑41% ↓30% | ↑51% ↓22% | ↑65% ↓15% |
| ADX trend strength | ↑37% ↓31% | ↑44% ↓26% | ↑54% ↓19% | ↑65% ↓11% |
| Bollinger Bands | ↑38% ↓31% | ↑43% ↓29% | – | – |
| Donchian channel | ↑34% ↓32% | ↑42% ↓31% | ↑52% ↓23% | ↑62% ↓17% |
| Rule ensemble | ↑34% ↓31% | ↑42% ↓30% | ↑49% ↓23% | ↑60% ↓14% |
| MACD | ↑33% ↓34% | ↑40% ↓32% | ↑48% ↓24% | ↑59% ↓20% |
| RSI | ↑37% ↓31% | ↑43% ↓29% | ↑49% ↓24% | ↑61% ↓16% |
| Moving-average trend | ↑36% ↓31% | ↑43% ↓27% | ↑54% ↓19% | ↑67% ↓13% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | ↑35% ↓32% | ↑41% ↓29% | ↑50% ↓22% | ↑61% ↓17% |
Track record for this symbol
Brier skill against the base rate in the walk-forward backtest since 2020 (above 0 means more informative than the base rate), and live forecasts scored so far.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rate | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | -0.11% | +0.03% | +0.58% | -2.01% |
| Moving-average trend | +0.03% | -0.13% | -0.39% | -4.30% |
| ADX trend strength | +0.02% | -0.31% | -0.01% | +0.03% |
| Rule ensemble | -0.02% | -0.63% | -0.85% | -0.77% |
| Bollinger Bands | -0.02% | -0.58% | – | – |
| Donchian channel | -0.08% | -0.90% | -0.47% | -0.66% |
| MACD | -0.10% | -0.37% | -0.35% | -0.88% |
| Momentum | -0.13% | -0.38% | -0.38% | -1.21% |
| RSI | -0.23% | -0.94% | -0.62% | -0.16% |
| Live: scored / waiting | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 |
Recent signal changes
| Session | Horizon | Strategy | Reference price | Result after costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2026 * | 1 session | LONG New | 535.07 | Open |
| 10/09/2026 * | 20 sessions | LONG New | 535.07 | Open |
| 10/09/2026 * | 5 sessions | LONG New | 535.07 | Open |
| 10/09/2026 * | 60 sessions | LONG New | 535.07 | Open |
* Backfilled: written after the fact, never counted as live
Frequently asked questions
What is the MSFT price today?
MSFT closed at 541.19 in the 10/12/2026 session, +1.14% from the previous session.
What is the highest MSFT has been?
In Upside data since 11/22/2006, the highest level of MSFT was 549.95, in the 07/31/2025 session.
What is the lowest MSFT has been?
In Upside data since 11/22/2006, the lowest level of MSFT was 12.09, in the 03/06/2009 session.
How has MSFT moved over the past year?
Over the last 252 sessions MSFT changed +4.45%, trading between 348.39 and 549.19. A typical daily range is about 2.15% of the price.