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Canadian Dollar Gains as October Bank of Canada Rate Odds Reach 80 %

The Canadian dollar rose 0.3% to C$1.4095 per U.S. dollar on Oct. 19 as swap-market pricing implied about an 80% chance of a Bank of Canada rate hike on Oct. 28, up from 30% on Oct. 16. Statistics Canada reported consumer prices rose 3.1% year over year in September, up from 3.0%, with gasoline up 27.8% while inflation excluding gasoline eased to 2.2%. Employment fell by 42,000 in August and 68,000 in September, and unemployment rose to 6.5%. ING strategist Francesco Pesole said the Canadian dollar had little room for further gains and forecast USD/CAD at 1.420 by end-October and year-end 2026. The Bank of Canada had held its rate at 2.25% on Sept. 2, and its next decision is due at 9:45 a.m. ET on Oct. 28.

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Original headline: Canadian Dollar Gains as October Bank of Canada Rate Odds Reach 80 %

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