News · manilatimes.net

HTX Research Publishes Crypto Market Outlook Ahead of the 2026 U . S . Midterm Elections

HTX Research has published a report arguing that the 2026 U.S. midterm elections may reshape policy expectations over the next two years, while short-term crypto prices remain driven by inflation, financing costs and capital flows. Its base case for the period around the vote is elevated volatility, repeated repricing and divergence across assets, rather than a sustained rally tied to one political narrative. The report examines how the elections could affect the pace of crypto legislation and regulatory oversight, with sensitivity analysis across major asset categories under different congressional outcomes. It also provides a set of indicators to monitor from the pre-election period through the first half of 2027.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on manilatimes.net ↗

Keywords

cryptomidterm electionscapital flowsinflation

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

BTC/USDT

• Neutral

Bitcoin

Relevance: low

MarketCrypto
ExchangeBinance
SectorLayer 1
Market cap$1.6T
Close on 10/22/202681,416.09
Change that session-3.18%
BTC/USDT price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • Bitcoin ETFs break 2-week outflow streak with $301M comeback

    U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs took in net inflows of about $301 million last week, snapping a two-week outflow streak despite heavy late-week withdrawals. The funds drew $1.08 billion from Monday to Wednesday as Bitcoin hit a weekly high of $84,777, then saw about $774 million withdrawn on Thursday and Friday as BTC fell toward $80,000. DWF Labs said ETF investors have tended to sell into declines, finding net outflows in seven of eight Bitcoin sell-offs of at least 15% since launch in January 2024. At publication, Bitcoin traded at $80,025, while spot Ether ETFs recorded a fourth straight week of net outflows, about $221 million.

    Cointelegraph·▲ BTC/USDTbitcoinETFcapital flows
  • Which Crypto Could Be the Second to Reach a $1 Trillion Market Value?

    Bitcoin is the only cryptocurrency above $1 trillion in market value, at about $1.62 trillion. Ethereum, at about $2,335, needs a 3.5x increase to reach $1 trillion, the smallest multiple among its rivals, which need 10.3x for BNB, $15.79 for XRP and 16.8x for Solana. The article notes that supply growth complicates XRP and Solana, and that U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs had $12.7 billion in cumulative net inflows as of October 22, below a $14.0 billion peak, while spot XRP and Solana ETFs had $1.8 billion and $1.54 billion. It concludes Ethereum is the most viable candidate near term, but ETF inflows would first need to exceed the $14.0 billion peak, and the price would then need to surpass its $4,946 all-time high before reaching $8,186.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ ETH/USDT• BTC/USDTcryptoETFETHUSDT
  • What Will 10 Ethereum (ETH) Be Worth by 2030?

    The article estimates what 10 Ethereum (ETH) could be worth by 2030 under different price scenarios. At about $2,335 per ETH, 10 ETH is worth about $23,350, and ETH trades 52.8% below its all-time high of $4,946. The price fell 12.5% over the past month and 40.4% over the past year, but rose 24.6% over the last 90 days from a June low of $1,505. The article calls $5,000 the most realistic base case, which would make 10 ETH worth $50,000, while $10,000 (a market cap above $1 trillion) appears less likely. If ETH falls below $1,505, a bear case could leave 10 ETH valued at just $15,000. The piece also notes that cumulative net inflows into U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs fell to $12.7 billion, and that JPMorgan's and BlackRock's tokenization moves on Ethereum have had little immediate effect on the price.

    Yahoo Finance·• ETH/USDTEthereumcryptoETF
  • Will Solana Ever Hit $1,000? What It Would Take From $100

    SOL would need to rise nearly tenfold from about $101 to reach $1,000, implying a market cap of about $589.8 billion versus roughly $59.5 billion now, and it trades 65.6% below its $293 peak. Solana has no maximum supply, and staking inflation keeps minting new tokens. Cumulative net inflows into U.S. spot Solana ETFs have fallen from $1.62 billion on September 29 to $1.54 billion, even as the Alpenglow upgrade cut transaction finality to about 150 milliseconds. The author judges SOL unlikely to hit $1,000 before 2028, with a probability below 10%.

    Yahoo Finance·cryptoSolanaETF
  • Bitcoin ETFs Snap Two-Week Losing Streak Despite Late-Week Slide

    U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $137.9 million in outflows on Friday but still finished the week up about $301 million, ending a two-week losing streak. For October, the Bitcoin funds remain down about $314 million, while Ethereum ETFs are down roughly $1.18 billion for the month. Bitcoin slipped 1.1% to about $80,490, and on the Myriad prediction market, the odds of Bitcoin dropping to $77,500 this month rose to 43%. The article links these moves to a midweek global selloff, when oil climbed above $111 a barrel and AI stocks slid.

    Decrypt·• BTC/USDTbitcoinETFcrypto
  • Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $636 Million as October Turns Red Again

    U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs shed a net $635.6 million on Thursday, wiping out nearly 60% of the roughly $1.07 billion inflow from the previous three sessions. That pushed October's net flows back into a loss of about $176 million, after the funds had reached roughly $460 million in inflows on Wednesday. Ethereum ETFs lost $110.6 million, lifting their October outflows to about $1.18 billion, while Solana ETFs shed $8.9 million. Prices barely moved, with Bitcoin near $81,460, while traders on Myriad, a prediction market, cut the odds of Bitcoin topping $87,500 this month to 17%.

    Decrypt·▼ BTC/USDT▼ ETH/USDTbitcoinETFcapital flows

Related markets

Crypto →

Latest news

  • Why Micron Stock Is Up Today

    Micron Technology (MU) shares rose 5.5% as of 2:24 P.M. ET on Wednesday, October 28, after rival SK Hynix reported strong third-quarter results. SK Hynix posted revenue up 328% year over year to 104.6 trillion won ($78.9 billion) and operating profit up 632%, and said it expects demand to exceed supply through 2030 due to the difficulty of manufacturing advanced chips and the time needed to build factories. The article says tight supply could support Micron's pricing power, noting its latest revenue of $54.23 billion (up from $11.32 billion) and GAAP net income of $37.70 billion (up from $3.2 billion). It also cautions that the memory industry has traditionally followed boom-and-bust cycles.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ NVDAMicronsemiconductorsSK Hynix
  • 3 Dow Jones stocks with questionable fundamentals

    The article identifies three Dow Jones stocks with questionable fundamentals: 3M (MMM), Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM). 3M, with a market cap of $88.66 billion and shares at $171.63 (17.9x forward P/E), has seen organic sales weaken over two years, with productivity and EPS declining over five years. Sherwin-Williams (market cap $78.68 billion, shares at $328.98, 25.2x forward P/E) grew annual sales 4% over the last two years, lagging industrials peers, and anticipates 4.6% sales growth next year. JPMorgan Chase (market cap $891.7 billion) posted annual revenue growth of 8% over two years and a 2.5% net interest margin, and the market expects its efficiency ratio to worsen by 1.7 percentage points.

    Yahoo Finance·▼ JPMDow JonesvaluationJPM
  • Is AMD Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold Right Now? Here's What I'm Doing.

    AMD stock is up about 140% so far in 2026, while rival Nvidia is up about 13%. AMD is catching up in AI after lagging early, with deals with hyperscalers such as OpenAI lifting second-quarter data center revenue 107% year over year to $6.7 billion. Analysts expect growth of 41% next quarter, 57% in the fourth quarter and 75% in 2027. The author argues this growth is already priced in: AMD trades at 68 times forward earnings, versus 27 times trailing earnings for Nvidia. Given this valuation, the author says the stock is more likely to underperform or lose value, and suggests investors may consider rotating into Nvidia and taking profits.

    Yahoo Finance·AMDvaluationartificial intelligence
  • Prediction: XRP Will Be Worth $250 Billion by 2030

    The author predicts XRP will reach $4 by 2030, tripling from its current $1.30 and lifting its market cap from $83 billion to $250 billion. That would be a new all-time high, above XRP's previous peaks of $3.84 in 2018 and $3.65 in 2025. The author argues triple-digit growth targets for cryptocurrencies are unrealistic, citing JPMorgan's forecasts of 10% annualized growth for Bitcoin in its base case and 17% in its best case, and expects XRP to grow about 30% annually. The article also notes that stablecoins pegged 1:1 to the U.S. dollar are taking over part of XRP's cross-border payment role, and recent Ripple announcements, including final OCC approval for a national trust bank, highlight Ripple USD rather than XRP.

    Yahoo Finance·XRPcryptostablecoins
  • We're adding a new, high-profile AI play to our Bullpen stocks to watch list

    The article proposes adding SpaceX, founded by Elon Musk in 2002, to the Bullpen stocks-to-watch list. The company went public in June at $135 per share, opened at $150, peaked near $226, fell to about $105 in early August, and rebounded to the $140s. Its S-1 filing estimates a total addressable market of $28.5 trillion: $370 billion for Space, $1.6 trillion for Connectivity and $26.5 trillion for SI, formerly called AI. SI is the fastest-growing segment, with third-quarter revenue of $7.56 billion, up from $2.56 billion in the second quarter and $813 million a year earlier, while Anthropic's S-1 shows it has agreed to spend up to $120.5 billion on SpaceX compute over coming years. Starlink, the most profitable segment with $2.37 billion in third-quarter operating profit, added 1.6 million consumer subscribers, bringing its global base to just under 14 million, and SpaceX is expected to earn 32 cents per share in calendar 2026.

    CNBC·SpaceXIPOElon Musk
  • Fed Holds Rates, but Two Officials Push for Hike as Polymarket December Odds Hit 82%

    The Fed held rates at 3.75%–4.00% in a 10–2 vote, with Governor Lisa Cook and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack favoring a 25-basis-point increase; it was Cook's first dissent since joining the Fed in 2022. On Polymarket, the odds of a 25-basis-point hike in December rose to 82% from about 77% before the announcement, with more than $5.3 million in trading volume. Despite a weak September jobs report showing only 29,000 jobs added, the Fed said job gains kept pace with the workforce and unemployment changed little. Truflation forecasts September PCE inflation at 3.6% year over year, up from 3.4% in August, as gasoline and other energy goods rose 33.7% amid surging oil prices tied to the Iran war. The official PCE report and third-quarter GDP are due Thursday.

    Yahoo Finance·

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.