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India $4 trillion economy : Can it beat its 2003 07 growth streak and become No . 3 by 2030 ?

India's economy shrank 5.8% during the pandemic, then rebounded 9.7% in 2021 and grew more than 7% a year for four straight years, according to Kim. Its 7.83% average growth over 2021-2025 is the second-highest five-year average since 1960, just below the 7.89% recorded in 2003-2007. GDP has grown from slightly above $1 trillion in 2007 to nearly $4 trillion now, so the same 7% rate adds far more output than it did two decades ago. The World Bank, IMF and ADB all project growth around or above 7% for the current and next fiscal years, though the article notes these are not guarantees. Kim said India is projected to become the world's third-largest economy around 2030, a outcome that would depend on exchange rates, inflation and the performance of other major economies.

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Original headline: India $4 trillion economy : Can it beat its 2003 07 growth streak and become No . 3 by 2030 ?

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