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NVIDIA and Micron Alone Now Contribute 36% of S&P 500 Earnings Growth as Historic Market Concentration Grows

According to The Kobeissi Letter, NVIDIA and Micron are expected to account for 36% of S&P 500 earnings growth in the third-quarter reporting season, contributing 5.2 and 4.6 percentage points to expected 27% year-over-year growth. NVIDIA is expected to report revenue of $108.98 billion, up 91.2% from a year earlier, while Micron's November-quarter revenue is seen at $61.67 billion. NVIDIA's supply commitments reached $279.0 billion in fiscal Q2 2027, up sharply from $119 billion in Q1, largely for memory used in Vera Rubin production that Micron supplies. The article argues these commitments signal months ahead whether AI spending is still accelerating, while rising memory prices could compress margins. The fifteen largest S&P 500 stocks now hold a record 46.7% of the index's market value, versus 27.2% during the 2000 dot-com bubble.

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Close on 10/20/2026216.48
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