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Since 1950, the S&P 500 was higher one year after Election Day in all 19 U.S. midterm cycles, averaging about 15% by the author's count (BNY's study put it at 16.6%). Buying two weeks before the vote made only a small difference: the index rose in 14 of 19 cycles, gaining about 1.4% on average over those two weeks. An investor who bought two weeks early and held for a year came out ahead in all 19 cycles, averaging about 17% versus about 15% for those who waited until Election Day. The index now sits about 2% below its record close of 7,818.93 on Oct. 6 after its worst week since June, yet it is still up around 12% in 2026. The author wouldn't hold back cash for the midterms, while noting that 19 cycles is a small sample and a year's returns depend on many other factors.
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Michigan residents describe a tough economy, and the University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index, the nation's longest-running survey dating back to 1946, is lower than almost any time in modern history, including the stagflation era, the 2008 financial crisis and post-COVID price spikes. The share of consumers expecting wages to outpace inflation fell from 18% to 11% in September, as wages have not kept up with prices. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, grocery prices rose more than four percent over two years, AAA reports gas prices are up 35 percent, and Freddie Mac projects 30-year mortgage rates to stay above seven percent through next year. A Northville real estate agent said mortgage rates rising from 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent meant buyers could afford $50,000 less, leaving a house on the market for over a month. Trump had promised to bring prices down quickly, but many voters feel he has not kept that promise, raising the question of whether gloomy sentiment will translate into votes.
- Trump Rallies In Kentucky , Promises $5 , 000 Checks
President Donald Trump held a rally at Northern Kentucky University in Highland Heights on Saturday (October 17), urging voters to back Republicans in the midterms, which he called “the most important midterm in the history of our country.” He warned that “radical Democrats” could undo his administration’s accomplishments and promised $5,000 checks to American voters if Republicans keep control of Congress, according to WVXU. He also announced a potential $100 million investment in a pharmaceutical plant in Winchester, Kentucky, contingent on a Republican victory. Republican candidates Eric Conroy and Ed Gallrein spoke before Trump, while Indivisible NKY organized protests nearby. Local Democratic activist Crimson MacDonald stressed the importance of voting.
- Trump Rallies In Kentucky, Promises $5,000 Checks
President Donald Trump addressed a rally at Northern Kentucky University in Highland Heights on Saturday, October 17, urging supporters to vote in the midterms. He warned that 'radical Democrats' could undo his administration's achievements if they regain power, and promised $5,000 checks to American voters if Republicans keep control of Congress. He also announced a potential $100 million investment in a pharmaceutical plant in Winchester, Kentucky, contingent on a Republican victory. Protests organised by Indivisible NKY took place nearby, with demonstrators encouraging voter turnout.
- Trump Rallies In Kentucky, Promises $5,000 Checks | News Radio 1450 WILM
President Donald Trump addressed a rally at Northern Kentucky University in Highland Heights on Saturday, October 17, urging supporters to vote in the midterms. He warned that 'radical Democrats' could undo his administration's achievements if they regain power, and promised $5,000 checks to American voters if Republicans keep control of Congress. He also announced a potential $100 million investment in a pharmaceutical plant in Winchester, Kentucky, contingent on a Republican victory. Protests organised by Indivisible NKY took place nearby, with demonstrators encouraging voter turnout.
- Trump Rallies In Kentucky , Promises $5 , 000 Checks
President Donald Trump addressed a rally at Northern Kentucky University in Highland Heights on Saturday (October 17), urging supporters to turn out for the upcoming midterms. He warned that "radical Democrats" could undo his administration's accomplishments if they regain power, and promised $5,000 checks to American voters if Republicans keep control of Congress. During the event he announced a potential $100 million investment in a pharmaceutical plant in Winchester, Kentucky, contingent on a Republican victory. Republican candidates Eric Conroy and Ed Gallrein spoke before Trump, while Indivisible NKY organized protests nearby urging voter turnout.
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