News · econotimes.com

RBI Minutes Show Inflation Spreading Across India Consumer Basket

The minutes show the Monetary Policy Committee voted to raise the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% at its Oct. 5-7 meeting, with every member backing the hike. Four members favored shifting to calibrated tightening, while Nagesh Kumar and Ram Singh preferred to hold the stance. CPI inflation rose to 4.8% in August from 4.5% in July, core inflation was 4.2%, and the share of basket items with inflation above 4% climbed to about 37% from 20% in March. The RBI projects CPI inflation of 5.2% for fiscal 2026-27, though these are forecasts, and cites a weak monsoon, El Niño and high energy costs as risks. Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta urged acting before price pressures are clearer, while Singh warned prolonged hikes could weaken demand; the stance rules out near-term cuts.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on econotimes.com ↗

Keywords

inflationIndiainterest ratescentral bank

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related news

  • India interest rate gap with G7 in focus as RBI weighs inflation risks : Report

    A YES Bank report says the gap between Indian and G7 interest rates matters for monetary policy, as it helps attract foreign debt capital while the US Federal Reserve may continue its rate-hiking cycle. The minutes of the RBI's October MPC meeting flagged growing inflation risks, with the Q3 FY27 inflation projection at 6 per cent, the top of the 2-6 per cent tolerance band. September data showed broader price increases, household inflation expectations rose and businesses were passing higher input costs on to consumers, although demand pressures remained subdued. India still posted GDP growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1 FY27, while the report flagged risks from energy prices, supply-chain pressures and El Nino. YES Bank forecasts a cumulative 50 basis-point repo rate increase, with 25-basis-point hikes in December and February, but this is the bank's own forecast rather than an RBI decision.

    shanghainews.net·Indiainterest ratesinflation
  • India interest rate gap with G7 in focus as RBI weighs inflation risks : Report

    A YES Bank report argues that keeping a certain gap between India's and G7 interest rates matters for attracting foreign debt capital, especially as the US Federal Reserve is expected to keep hiking rates. The RBI's inflation projection for Q3 FY27 reached 6%, the upper limit of its 2–6% tolerance band, and September data showed broader price increases, rising household inflation expectations and businesses passing higher input costs on to consumers. India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q1 FY27, while demand pressures remained subdued and the output gap appeared to be narrowing. YES Bank forecasts a cumulative 50-basis-point repo rate hike, with 25 basis points in December and 25 in February, but notes this is its own forecast rather than an RBI decision. The report also flags risks from higher energy prices, supply-chain pressures and El Niño.

    oklahomacitysun.com·interest ratesinflationIndia
  • RBI divided over further rate hikes as inflation nears top of tolerance band

    The minutes of the Reserve Bank of India's October meeting show policymakers agreed inflation had worsened enough to warrant higher rates but differed on how much more tightening is needed. Governor Sanjay Malhotra proposed shifting the stance from neutral to “calibrated tightening” and keeping future moves data-dependent, signalling rate cuts are off the table in the near term. Deputy Governor Poonam Gupta and Executive Director Indranil Bhattacharyya argued for staying ahead of inflation, while external members Nagesh Kumar and Ram Singh opposed the shift. The committee raised the benchmark rate to 5.5% this month, its first hike in nearly four years, as September consumer inflation reached a near two-year high close to the top of the 2%-6% tolerance band. Economists expect 2-3 more rate rises, while the rupee, after the RBI's most aggressive defense in over a decade, closed at 94.4460 after an eighth straight session of gains.

    thehindubusinessline.com·Indiainterest ratesinflation
  • SBI Research retains call for 50 - bps December rate hike amid broadening inflationary pressures

    SBI Research has kept its forecast of a 50-basis-point RBI repo rate hike in December, citing persistent inflation, elevated crude oil prices and the central bank's shift toward tighter policy, even though the RBI has ruled out near-term rate cuts. Its analysis of the October MPC minutes shows Governor Sanjay Malhotra focusing more on future risks and the possibility of further tightening. The RBI raised the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.50% earlier this month, and the report outlines two December options: a 50-basis-point hike to 6%, or a 25-basis-point hike to 5.75% with an asymmetric widening of the LAF corridor. The number of commodities making up 75% of the CPI's weighted contribution rose from 25 in August to 31 in September, showing price pressures spreading, and inflation is expected to peak below 6.5% in November. The next MPC meeting is scheduled for December 2-4.

    utahindependent.com·Indiainterest ratesinflation
  • Minutes show MPC consensus on inflation control as economy resilientmoneycontrol.com·inflationcentral bankinterest rates
  • Rate cuts are off the table in the near term : RBI in October MPC minutes

    In the October MPC minutes, the Reserve Bank of India said rate cuts are 'off the table in the near term' and future policy can only be a rate hike or a pause, depending on conditions. The RBI unanimously raised the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.5% in October, as inflation is no longer benign, with headline CPI expected to average nearly 5.8% over the next three quarters and core inflation projected at 4.4% this year. Governor Sanjay Malhotra said monetary policy mainly curbs second-round effects of supply shocks, while warning of demand-side pressures given growth in monetary and credit aggregates. The next MPC meeting is scheduled for December 2-4.

    businesstoday.in·interest ratescentral bankIndia

Related markets

Currencies →Gold →

Latest news

  • Bank Profits Surge

    The 9-month 2026 results show many banks continued to grow profits, with some posting record quarterly earnings. VPBank's pre-tax profit reached nearly VND 30,000 billion, up nearly 47%, equal to its full-year 2025 result and about 72.4% of its 2026 plan; Q3 pre-tax profit topped VND 11,000 billion. Techcombank posted VND 28,900 billion (up 23.7%), while LPBank reported VND 10,421 billion (up nearly 9%). SSI forecasts pre-tax profit of its monitored banks to rise 19.5% in 2026 before slowing to 15.4% in 2027, pressured by narrowing net interest margins and rising credit risk provisions. It also expects system-wide credit growth of 16-17% in 2027 and 17.9% for the monitored banks.

    CafeF·▲ VNINDEXbanksearningscredit
  • World's Largest Gold Fund Dumps Over 10 Tonnes of Gold as Prices Slide

    SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold fund, continued net selling of nearly 12 tonnes of gold in the 22/10 session, bringing total sales over 2 sessions to nearly 15 tonnes and cutting its holdings to about 1,046 tonnes. Spot gold fell more than 2.8% to around USD 4,025 per ounce at the close of 22/10, and briefly dipped below USD 4,000 per ounce in the morning session of 23/10. Tensions in the Middle East pushed crude oil prices higher, raising concerns about inflation and further Fed tightening, and gold has still not attracted sustained safe-haven demand even as US Treasury yields fell. US September CPI rose 0.6% month on month and 3.7% year on year, while PPI rose 1.3% and 6.3%. Markets price about an 84% chance the Fed holds rates steady at its 27-28/10 meeting and a 16% chance of a 25 basis-point increase; September PCE data due on 29/10 is the next key factor to watch.

    CafeF·▼ XAU/USD▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDTgoldinflationFed
  • Gold Prices Continue to Fall

    On the morning of 23/10, domestic gold prices kept falling, with SJC bar prices varying by seller and the premium over world gold widening. Công ty TNHH Vàng bạc đá quý Sài Gòn listed SJC bars at VND 139-142 million per tael (buy-sell), down VND 300,000; Phú Quý was at VND 138-141.8 million, down VND 500,000; and Mi Hồng at VND 140-141.5 million, down VND 800,000. Gold rings also fell by varying amounts, with DOJI at VND 138-142 million and Phú Quý at VND 138-141 million per tael. World gold dropped USD 129 to around USD 3,992 per ounce, equal to about VND 125.3 million per tael, leaving SJC bars about VND 16.7 million per tael above the world price. The State Bank's central rate was set at 25,627 VND/USD, down 5 dong, while Vietcombank quoted 25,660-26,040 VND/USD (buy-sell).

    CafeF·▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDgoldexchange ratesState Bank of Vietnam
  • Company Linked to Billionaire Pham Nhat Vuong Announces Major Good News

    VEFAC (ticker VEF), a Vingroup subsidiary, posted Q3 net revenue of nearly VND 77 billion, up 67% year on year, but a gross loss of about VND 27 billion as cost of sales from its exhibition business exceeded revenue. Q3 profit rose mainly thanks to a gross gain of about VND 65 billion from transferring some schools in a project to a partner, while financial income reached over VND 388 billion, mostly from loan and investment income. For the first nine months of 2026, after-tax profit was nearly VND 865 billion, down about 94% from VND 15,418 billion in the same period of 2025, as the prior year included large gains from transferring part of the Vinhomes Global Gate project. As of 30/9/2026, total assets stood at over VND 31,905 billion, up 36% from the start of the year, while total liabilities exceeded VND 24,364 billion, with short-term customer advances rising from VND 411 billion to over VND 8,373 billion.

    CafeF·▲ VHM▲ VICreal estateearningsVietnam
  • Lotte and Phat Dat Officially Break Ground on VND 60,000 Billion Mega Project in Thu Thiem 'Golden Land'

    A joint venture between Lotte Group (South Korea) and Phát Đạt (HoSE: PDR) officially broke ground on 23/10 on Lotte Eco Smart City Thu Thiem in the Thu Thiem New Urban Area, HCMC, with total investment of about VND 60,000 billion. The project covers nearly 7.5 ha and will combine Grade A offices, retail, services, accommodation and housing, adjoining the central plaza and central lake of Thu Thiem. Phát Đạt holds 35% of Lotte Properties HCMC, the project developer, and will develop the housing blocks along with two towers (2-1 and 2-3) with about 219,722 m2 of floor area, while Lotte handles block 2-5. Lotte Properties HCMC paid VND 17,569 billion in land-use fees on 31/7/2026, and Phát Đạt completed its VND 7,666 billion payment to take its 35% stake. MB is funding all of Phát Đạt's capital contribution, while VietinBank and BIDV also support the project.

    CafeF·▲ PDRreal estatehousingbanks
  • International Business : Global stocks nosedive as Meta dents AI optimism

    Global stocks retreated as tech earnings failed to ease concerns about the AI outlook, with MSCI's All-World index set for its largest daily fall in two weeks, down 0.4 per cent. Meta beat third-quarter revenue expectations, but its plan to issue non-voting stock revived worries about its mounting capital commitments, and a New Mexico judge ordered it to pay a $25 billion penalty in a data privacy case. Brent crude rose nearly 3% to $112 a barrel, near a five-month high, after more Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia raised supply risks. Investors moved into government bonds, pushing the US 10-year yield down to 5.05%, below France's for the first time in 13 years, while French yields have climbed above 5% amid concerns over social unrest and debt. The France-Germany 10-year spread reached 177.7 basis points, its widest since 2011, while gold fell 1.8% to $4,070 an ounce.

    gdnonline.com·▼ META▼ QQQ▼ SPY▼ NVDAtech stocksoil pricesbonds

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.