PayPal, once a popular growth stock, would now be worth only $187 from a $1,000 investment made at its July 23, 2021 record high. The company had 439 million active accounts in Q2 2026, just 0.3% growth year over year, as competition and a steady decline in take rates weigh on it, while revenue grew 8% in 2023, 7% in 2024 and 4% in 2025. PayPal is leaning on Braintree, Venmo and monetization of existing users, while cutting costs and buying back shares to lift EPS. The stock trades at about 11 times this year's EPS, versus 87 times the $3.52 EPS at its 2021 peak, and analysts expect 5% revenue and 4% EPS CAGRs for 2025–2028. The author sees limited downside but would only consider buying if the 1% forward dividend yield rose.
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