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The Battle That May Matter Most for Netflix Stock Isn't Against Disney

Netflix had over 325 million paid memberships at the end of 2025, but concerns about subscriber engagement have grown. Although it called engagement “healthy” in its second-quarter 2026 report, it cut the What We Watched report from twice a year to once a year, and its Oct. 20 shareholder letter acknowledged a goal to accelerate view hours growth. The article argues YouTube, not Disney, is now the key competitor for attention: YouTube had over 1.7 billion unique viewers of World Cup-related videos and $11 billion in ad revenue in Q2 2026, versus Netflix's expected $2.7 billion in ad revenue for all of 2026. The bull case is that Netflix is adding live events such as football, boxing and concerts, though these rights require additional spending.

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