TradingView data going back to 1950, covering 19 midterm elections, shows the index was higher 12 months after the end of October in the election year every time. The average gain was 16.6%, and the median was 16.3%.
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Original headline: This Midterm’s Stock-Market Pattern Hasn’t Failed Since 1950, and It Kicks Off This Week
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SPY
▲ Likely positiveSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/26/2026 | 765.37 |
| Change that session | +0.71% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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