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When Could Quantum Computers or AI Break Bitcoin? An Updated Threat Window

This clip from a longer Unchained conversation asks whether AI could break blockchain cryptography before quantum computers do. Ethereum researcher Justin Drake warned that ECDSA could be broken before Q-Day, possibly within months. Alex Pruden of Project Eleven said new error-correction results from Google and Quantinuum push him toward the earlier end of his Q-Day window, 2030 at the earliest, with 2033 to 2035 more likely than not. Conor Deegan argues that 'A-Day' for AI may already be here, and that the post-quantum and post-AI migrations are the same work.

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