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Will Alphabet Stock Surge After Oct. 28?

Alphabet reports Q3 2026 earnings after the market closes on October 28, with analysts averaging a $127.8 billion revenue estimate (up 25% year over year) and EPS of $3. Over the last 16 quarters, the stock has closed up seven times and down nine times after reports, with an average move of 5.2%; last quarter's revenue beat did not prevent a 7% drop the next day. In Q2, revenue rose 24% to $119.8 billion and EPS rose 294% to $9.11, but net income included about $99 billion of unrealized gains, mostly from investments in SpaceX and Anthropic, and adjusted EPS of $2.85 missed consensus by $0.04. The company raised its 2026 capex guidance to $195–205 billion and posted negative free cash flow for the first time since its 2004 IPO. Factors to watch include capex, 2027 guidance, free cash flow and Google Cloud growth; the author believes a decline is more likely than a surge after the report.

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MarketUS stocks
SectorCommunication Services
IndustryInteractive Media & Services
Market cap$4.0T
Close on 10/26/2026316.89
Change that session-1.04%
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