Dollar Rises as Traders Weigh Fed Decision

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• US Dollar Price Forecast: Fed Decision Looms, Can DXY Break 102.59 as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Slide?

  The US dollar awaits the Federal Reserve's decision on October 28, with CME FedWatch showing about a 91% probability of no change in the target range and attention on Chair Kevin Warsh's guidance on December. The euro faces an ECB decision on October 29 after two rate hikes in 2026 took the deposit rate to 2.50%, while France's 10-year yield rose to 5.13% on October 22 before easing to 4.94% on October 27 amid fiscal uncertainty. Sterling depends on Britain's Budget on October 28 and the Bank of England's November 5 decision, after September CPI rose to 3.5% and public-sector net debt reached £3,005 billion. Technically, DXY near 102.43 faces resistance at 102.59 with support at 102.03, while EUR/USD near 1.1120 tests support at 1.1113 and resistance at 1.1150. The author leans bullish on the dollar while DXY stays above 102.03.

  Yahoo Finance·28/10, 08:24▲ DXY▼ EUR/USD▼ GBP/USDDXYUS dollarexchange rates
• Dollar Posts 2-week High on Expectations for Hawkish FOMC Commentary

  The dollar index (DXY00) rose 0.09% to a new two-week high. The dollar was supported by a 2.5 bp rise in the 10-year T-note yield, which strengthened its interest rate differentials. It also gained ahead of this afternoon's FOMC meeting results, amid expectations of hawkish commentary.

  Yahoo Finance·28/10, 14:49▲ DXY▼ AUD/USD▼ EUR/USD▼ GBP/USDUS dollarDXYFed
• US Dollar Rises Early Wednesday Ahead of FOMC Meeting AnnouncementYahoo Finance·28/10, 11:29▲ DXY▼ EUR/USD▼ AUD/USD▼ GBP/USDUS dollarFedexchange rates
• Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision

  Sterling fell 0.22% against the dollar to $1.3348, while the euro rose 0.09% to $1.1213, as investors positioned ahead of a busy week of central bank meetings and the Fed decision on Wednesday. ING's Chris Turner said the dollar can probably hold its gains, citing elevated energy prices and the arrival of a third US aircraft carrier group in the Gulf. Markets and economists expect the Fed to hold rates, while ING forecasts a 25 basis point hike in December. Turner expects the DXY to trade between 101.45 and 101.85 today and sees EUR/USD capped near 1.1250/70, while calling the 1.1180 support level vulnerable this week.

  Yahoo Finance·26/10, 10:08▲ DXY▼ GBP/USDpound sterlingUS dollarexchange rates
• Dollar Index (DXY00) Slides as Chinese Yuan Hits 4-Year High and US Housing Data Disappoints

  The dollar index (DXY00) fell 0.31% as the Chinese yuan climbed to a 4-year high against the dollar, triggering a broad selloff of the greenback across major currency pairs. The dollar extended losses after September housing starts unexpectedly dropped to a 4-month low, while September pending home sales offered little reassurance. The article notes housing starts are a closely watched leading indicator that can shape Federal Reserve policy expectations, and weak construction data raises questions about consumer spending and credit conditions into year-end. Traders will watch Fed communications and further housing reports to determine whether the dollar's weakness is a short-term dip or a sustained shift.

  foreignpolicyjournal.com·21/10, 00:15▼ DXYUS dollarDXYFed
• US Dollar Snaps Rally Streak Under Dual Pressure From AI Stocks and the Fed

  The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.17% to 101.87 at the close on October 16, its first weekly decline in more than a month, despite US CPI and PPI readings above forecasts. Markets now put an 83% chance on the Fed holding rates at its end-of-month meeting, up from 49% a month earlier, while Chair Kevin Warsh gave no policy guidance at the IMF and World Bank meetings in Bangkok. A selloff in AI stocks over concerns about data-center operators' profitability saw money flow into bonds rather than the dollar. Elsewhere, sterling rose 0.63% on the week to $1.3314, the euro gained 0.23% to $1.1227, and the yen snapped a four-week losing streak to trade near 158.11 per dollar.

  Vietstock·17/10, 07:43▼ DXY▲ EUR/USD▲ XAU/USD▲ AUD/USDDXYUS dollarexchange rates

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  Yahoo Finance·29/10, 11:15• PAXG/USDT• XAUT/USDT• XAU/USDgoldXAUUSDFed
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  CafeF·29/10, 11:15• VNMdividendsearnings
• Fed holds rates steady: What pressures for Vietnam?

  The Fed kept its rate range at 3.75–4% at the October 28 meeting but left open the possibility of a rate hike in December. According to PGS.TS. Nguyễn Văn Phương, the impact would first hit the exchange rate and market expectations, and only then spread to capital flows and domestic interest rates. The most notable pressure is the exchange rate, as year-end USD demand could rise if importers buy early and exporters delay selling foreign currency, although the scale depends on export earnings, remittances and debt obligations. Higher USD yields could raise return requirements for investments in Vietnam, with portfolio flows reacting faster than direct investment. He said cutting VND rates too quickly while the exchange rate is under pressure could erode the benefit, but keeping rates high solely to protect the currency also carries costs.

  CafeF·29/10, 11:11• VNINDEXFedexchange ratesinterest rates
• Google Admits Its AI Search Makes Less Money Than Regular Search

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  Yahoo Finance·29/10, 11:09▼ GOOGLGOOGLartificial intelligenceearnings
• Warren Buffett's $48 Billion American Express Stake Has Been a Huge Winner. The Latest Results Say the Streak Is Far From Over.

  As of June 30, Berkshire Hathaway owned 22.5% of American Express's shares outstanding, a stake worth $48 billion as of October 27 and 13.1% of its portfolio, making it the conglomerate's second-largest holding after Apple. AXP shares have produced a total return of 440% over the past decade, though they trade 18% below their peak. In the third quarter, net revenue rose 9% year over year to $20.1 billion, billed business grew 8%, the company added 3.1 million net new card members, and the net write-off rate was 1.8%. Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to $17.60–$17.90, a midpoint gain of about 15% versus 2025. Two-thirds of new card members come from Gen Z and Millennial cohorts, and the company is working with OpenAI on an Amex plugin for Amex Offers and on bringing Resy reservations into ChatGPT.

  Yahoo Finance·29/10, 11:05Warren BuffettBerkshire HathawayAmerican Express
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  Yahoo Finance·29/10, 11:03▼ GOOGLGOOGLOraclecloud computing