The article models a 1,000 USD investment in Amazon (AMZN), which could grow to about 2,032.90 USD by October 2031 in its base case, a 103.29% total return, based on a five-year model target of 533.36 USD per share. Shares trade at 252.75 USD, below the 287.20 USD 52-week high, while AWS revenue reached 42.2 billion USD last quarter, up 36.7%. Advertising revenue rose 26% to 19.8 billion USD, and the 2026 capex plan was raised to about 220 billion USD from 200 billion USD. Risks cited include trailing free cash flow of -7.6 billion USD and a beta of 1.456. The consensus target is 331.72 USD, with 16 strong buy ratings, 43 buys, 2 holds and no sells.
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