See the full story in the original article.
Read the original on MarketWatch ↗
Keywords
S&P 500SPYMorgan Stanleymarket correction
Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.
Related tickers and likely impact
SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/16/2026 | 763.31 |
| Change that session | -1.10% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
Related news
- Tech Stock Rebound Nudges US Equity Futures Mostly Higher Pre-Bell
- The 10-Year Treasury Is Above 5% for the First Time in Almost 20 Years. History Says This Is How the S&P 500 Index Will Perform Over the Next 12 Months.
The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.06% on October 15, its first close above 5% since July 19, 2007, a level viewed as a key anchor for pricing across the economy. The article compares this with 2007, when the S&P 500 fell 19% in the following 12 months and 11% over the next five years, after yields had risen 26% in the prior four years. Yields have also climbed 26% in the past year as the central bank raises rates to fight stubborn inflation. Key differences include a normal yield curve today versus an inverted one in 2007, stricter bank rules after Dodd-Frank, and a stock market dominated by profitable tech firms. The article argues investors should stay focused on high-quality companies for the long term.
- Stocks are heading for a high - stakes showdown , as strong earnings collide with rising borrowing costs
Wall Street faces a tug-of-war as booming earnings for technology and energy firms collide with a relentless rise in bond yields, which have reached their highest levels in decades. Analysts expect earnings to keep soaring on AI data center build-outs, while oil prices, pushed into triple-digit territory by the war with Iran, add pressure on consumers. The market has split into AI and non-AI stocks, and AI stocks sold off last week as Treasury yields fell and investors questioned the AI-driven growth story. Valuations have slumped: the S&P 500 trades at 19 times expected earnings, below its five-year and 10-year averages, according to FactSet. Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer said earnings growth and the rising cost of capital are in a race to determine stock prices.
- We Just Witnessed a Unique Stock Market Measure Do Something for Only the 4th Time Since 1997 , and It Offers a Chilling Outlook for Wall Street
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have hit several record closing highs over the past four years, driven by AI infrastructure spending, record-breaking IPOs and better-than-expected earnings. The article highlights outstanding margin debt, reported monthly by FINRA, as a measure of investor risk-taking, since borrowing can magnify both gains and losses. Since 1997, margin debt has surged at least 65% over a short period four times, and the three earlier episodes preceded major bear markets, including the dot-com crash, the financial crisis and the 2022 downturn. From April 2025 to June 2026, margin debt rose 77% to an all-time high of $1.502 trillion, which the article says could foreshadow trouble for stocks, though long-term investors have historically benefited.
- There is a silent market rotation inside the S&P 500 that’s warning of more weakness ahead
- Howard Marks: The S&P 500 isn’t a good bet right now
Related markets
Latest news
- TRX Gold to Present at Red Cloud's Fall Mining Showcase 2026
TRX Gold will present at Red Cloud's Fall Mining Showcase 2026, an in-person conference at the Omni King Edward Hotel in Toronto on October 28 and 29, 2026. Stephen Mullowney is scheduled to present on Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM Eastern. The release describes the company as a gold producer advancing the Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania, which includes an established open pit and a 2,000 tonnes per day plant. The May 2025 PEA outlines average annual gold production of 62,000 oz over 17.6 years.
- Tesla Stock vs. the S&P 500: Which Investment Wins Through 2030?
The article argues Tesla trades at roughly 203 times this year's expected earnings and 13 times expected sales, a valuation that looks very expensive given gross margin pressure and a slower-than-expected robotaxi rollout. The flying Roadster, slated for production in 2028, is unlikely to make a meaningful sales or earnings contribution before 2030. The author thinks a Tesla-SpaceX merger by the end of the decade, likely an all-stock deal, is more likely than not and would be a key factor in how Tesla stock performs against the S&P 500 through 2030.
- SpaceX surprises Wall Street with Oct. 20 earnings date — here's why
SpaceX (SPCX) will release earnings on Oct. 20 after the market close, a surprise since earnings dates are usually shared weeks in advance. Evercore ISI analyst Kutgun Maral says possible reasons include putting updated financials on record before new financing or getting ahead of major lock-up releases, though scheduling is also possible. Reuters reported SpaceX is seeking $40 billion in financing to buy advanced Nvidia AI chips, including about $10 billion in bank loans and $30 billion in investment-grade debt, with Apollo expected to lead. The lock-up schedule includes 1.30 billion shares two days after earnings, 329 million on 10/24, and a remaining 857 million tranche of the 180-day group.
- AEP Partners with Amazon and X-energy to Explore Advanced Nuclear Energy in Indiana
American Electric Power (AEP) has announced a joint development agreement with X-energy to evaluate the feasibility of a 960-megawatt advanced nuclear project at a former coal plant site in Sullivan County, Indiana. Amazon is supporting development through a funding agreement. If the project reaches a final investment decision and is built, Amazon intends to buy the power under a long-term contract covering the facility's costs and operations. The initial project would include 12 Xe-100 units of 80 MW each, and the companies say it could create jobs, expand the local tax base and strengthen the grid for more than 60 years. AEP says the agreements include the financial safeguards it considers essential for any nuclear project to move forward.
- Talamore Marks One Year at Coffee with Major Advances Toward a 2027 Construction Decision
Talamore Mining marks one year since closing its acquisition of the Coffee Gold Project in Yukon, Canada, from Newmont Corporation on October 17, 2025. The company has assembled a financing package of up to C$688 million, including a C$149.5 million equity offering, a C$450 million secured project debt facility and up to C$88 million from a warrant early-exercise program. A primary road permit received in August 2026 allows completion of the 214-kilometre Northern Access Route from Dawson City. The February 2026 Preliminary Economic Assessment outlined a 13-year open-pit heap leach mine with an after-tax NPV (5%) of US$2.3 billion and an after-tax IRR of 47.8%. G Mining Services is completing the Feasibility Study, expected in Q1 2027, ahead of a construction decision targeted for the first half of 2027.
- Tiger Gold Extends Mineralization to the South at Ceibal, Drilling 268 m @ 0.5 g/t Au from Surface
Tiger Gold reported assay results from hole CEDDH-023 at its Ceibal target within the Quinchía Gold Project in Colombia. The hole intersected 268 metres grading 0.5 g/t Au from surface, extending mineralization south into a previously untested part of the corridor. Mineralization remains open to the west and southwest, where additional holes are testing for extension, and assays from Ceibal and Tesorito are pending. The drilling is intended to support a maiden Mineral Resource estimate, targeted for near the end of Q1 2027.
Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo
Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.