News · australiannews.net

Timely advice to Treasurer Chalmers: Stop relying on the RBA

Dr Bronwyn Kelly's column argues that Treasurer Jim Chalmers should heed former RBA Governor Bernie Fraser's criticism, made in the 2026 Bernie Fraser Oration at the Australia Institute, that interest-rate policy will do little to solve inflation. The author warns that the RBA's aggressive rate increases risk pushing the economy into recession as unemployment rises, house prices fall and consumer confidence plunges. Fraser said the RBA has drifted from its founding charter, which set full employment and currency stability as core goals, since the late 1990s, and that the late-2024 amendment adding price stability made rising unemployment a tool for price control. The column also says monetary policy is at best useless and at worst harmful for price stability, though it can help investment by small businesses.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Original headline: Timely advice to Treasurer Chalmers : Stop relying on the RBA

Read the original on australiannews.net ↗

Keywords

RBAinterest ratesinflationAustralia

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

AUD/USD

• Neutral

Relevance: low

MarketCurrencies
Close on 10/21/20260.70288
Change that session+0.35%
AUD/USD price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • Why five - year - high unemployment wont stop another RBA rate hike

    Markets see a November RBA rate hike as close to a coin toss, even though official figures released a week ago showed unemployment hitting a five-year high of 4.7%. The RBA has a full-employment mandate, and unemployment is running well above its forecasts, which may signal a faster-than-expected weakening in the jobs market. In theory, that should help bring inflation back to target without the need for higher interest rates.

    afr.com·▲ AUD/USD▲ NZD/USDRBAinterest ratesunemployment
  • Markets weigh RBA interest rate raise on Melbourne Cup Day after Andrew Hauser inflation warning

    Financial markets are beginning to price in the possibility that Australian interest rates will rise above 5% early next year, after the central bank issued an inflation warning this week. The Australian dollar hit a three-week high of US70.28 cents on Thursday, up 1% in just four days, while three-year bond yields rose 10 basis points to 4.94% as traders rapidly repriced expectations ahead of the RBA's next policy meeting.

    afr.com·▲ AUD/USD▲ NZD/USDRBAinterest ratesinflation
  • Nightmare: RBA inflation warning puts another hike in play

    RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser said the inflation outlook has deteriorated more than the bank projected in August, and doubts about returning inflation to target could warrant another rate hike. A rise would be the fifth this year, lifting the cash rate to 4.85 per cent, its highest since 2008, and Hauser called the trade-off between tackling inflation and weaker activity “hard choices”. He warned that if people expect inflation to stay above target, that would be “the central banker's nightmare”, even though unemployment, at a five-year high in September, remains comparatively low. After his remarks, market pricing for a November hike rose to 57 per cent from below 20 per cent last week, ahead of September-quarter inflation data on October 28. ANZ and Westpac forecast a November increase, while NAB and CBA judge the hiking cycle finished.

    theadviser.com.au·▲ AUD/USDRBAinterest ratesinflation
  • Reserve Bank of Australia signals rate hike today after inflation tracking exceeds central bank targetsinvestmentwatchblog.com·▲ AUD/USDRBAinterest ratesinflation
  • Inflation , interest rates : RBA warns of tough rate choicesgeelongadvertiser.com.au·▲ AUD/USDAUDUSDRBAinterest rates
  • Australian Market Slips To Slight Losses In Mid - market

    The Australian stock market slipped to slight losses in mid-market trade on Wednesday after opening higher, with the S&P/ASX 200 down 10.80 points (0.12%) at 8,806.10. The move followed hawkish remarks from RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser, who said tighter monetary policy was working but warned the inflation outlook remained "materially worse," partly due to elevated crude oil prices. Markets now price in a 44% chance of a November rate hike, up from 30% on Monday. Among stocks, BHP and Rio Tinto each lost more than 1%, while Beach Energy gained almost 4% after reporting record sales revenue and higher production for the first quarter. Separately, NextDC plunged almost 40% after cutting guidance over power delays at its M3 data centre in West Footscray, Melbourne.

    rttnews.com·RBAinterest ratesAustralia

Related markets

Currencies →

Latest news

  • What Does i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) Prioritizing Mineral Point Mean For Its Nevada Plan?

    i-80 Gold (TSX:IAU) has outlined an updated Nevada development plan that puts the Mineral Point open pit next in line after the underground hub, alongside progress on refurbishing assets such as the Lone Tree processing plant. The company is also advancing permits across its Nevada portfolio to build out several deposits in a coordinated way. The article says this could move i-80 Gold toward a blended operation combining high-grade underground feed with large-scale heap leach oxide output, spreading fixed costs, though execution and cost control remain central risks. Key checkpoints include first ore from Archimedes underground in Q4 2026, completion of Lone Tree feasibility and pre-commissioning steps toward a late 2027 plant start-up, and Mineral Point and Archimedes studies targeted around mid-2027.

    Yahoo Finance·goldminingi-80 Gold
  • Meta's Threads Now Has More Monthly Users Than X

    Mark Zuckerberg told investors on the October 21, 2026 earnings call that Threads has overtaken X in monthly actives, but Meta published no figure to support the claim. The last reported Threads count was 500 million monthly users, announced June 16, 2026. Third-party estimates measure daily mobile users instead: Threads first passed X globally in the week of September 15 to 21, 2025, at 130.2 million versus 130.1 million, while X still leads on web and among U.S. mobile users. X's advertising revenue was $1.248 billion for the first nine months of 2026, below $1.323 billion a year earlier, and Meta's financials show no benefit from the user lead yet.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ METAMETAsocial mediaadvertising
  • Famous Billionaire Calls AI a Bubble — But That Is Not What His Money Says

    Citadel founder Ken Griffin told Bloomberg at Citadel's Future of Global Markets conference that there are almost certainly bubbles within the current AI boom. He compared GPUs to airline seats, warning that once capacity exceeds demand prices may collapse, similar to the fiber-optic bust around 2000. Yet Citadel's amended 13F for Q2 2026 showed about $8.6 billion in five AI-linked companies, with Amazon its second-largest holding; its Amazon and Microsoft share counts rose 34% and 43%, while Nvidia shares fell about 37%. The filing also disclosed options on Nvidia and Micron that may hedge risk, and it is only a snapshot as of June 30.

    Yahoo Finance·• MSFTartificial intelligenceasset bubblesCitadel
  • Procter & Gamble Jumps 6% as Earnings Beat Draws Defensive Buyers; Johnson & Johnson Rises 3%, Coca-Cola Ticks Up

    Procter & Gamble shares rose 6% to $166.19 in morning trading after its Q1 FY2027 results beat expectations, with core EPS of $2 versus the $1.89 consensus and net sales of $23.28 billion against $22.82 billion expected. CFO Andre Schulten said the U.S. consumer is “remarkably resilient,” though lower-income shoppers are more cautious. The company kept its full-year outlook of 1% to 3% organic sales growth and core EPS of $6.89 to $7.11. Core gross margin fell 150 basis points year over year, and the company expects $1.4 billion in after-tax commodity cost pressure this fiscal year. Johnson & Johnson rose 3% and Coca-Cola 2% as defensive stocks drew buyers, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust fell 1%.

    Yahoo Finance·• SPYearningsconsumer goodsProcter & Gamble
  • Cathie Wood Goes Bargain Hunting: 3 Stocks She Just Bought

    Ark Invest, which publishes Cathie Wood's ETF trades daily, added to existing positions in Netflix (NFLX), Oklo (OKLO) and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) on Wednesday, and all three are down between 7% and 80% over the past year. Netflix hit a two-year low after guiding to an 11.5% revenue increase for the final quarter, its weakest showing in more than three years, though it has more than 300 million members and trades at 17 times next year's estimated earnings. Oklo has surrendered 86% of its value from its all-time high, with a $5.2 billion market cap and revenue not expected to top $10 million next year. Intuitive Surgical is down 7% over the past year and nearly a quarter in 2026, as analysts see revenue growth slowing to 13% next quarter.

    Yahoo Finance·Cathie WoodETFNetflix
  • Vistra Is Up 11% in a Month. Is Washington’s $4.2 Billion Nuclear Loan Really That Good?

    Vistra (VST) shares are up 11% over the past month after a conditional commitment of up to $4.2 billion from the Energy Department for 433 MW of uprates at Beaver Valley, Davis-Besse and Perry, and a 20-year Constellation Energy deal with Google lifted power producers. The article sees the loan as a good deal for those three plants, but it comes with conditions and does nothing about the soft Texas power prices weighing on the 2027 outlook. Analysts expect normalized EPS to more than double from $4.76 in 2025 to $10.37 in 2027, yet the stock trades at about 15x forward earnings, in line with its five-year average. Vistra updates its 2027 guidance with third-quarter results on Nov. 6, and the author argues the stock is worth owning into that report. However, if the 2027 adjusted EBITDA midpoint falls well short of about $8.1 billion and management blames Texas prices, the loan will not help much.

    Yahoo Finance·VSTelectricitynuclear energy

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.