U.S. Treasury yields fell on Friday as investors weighed hotter-than-expected inflation data and Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s remarks on interest rates. The 10-year yield dropped 1 basis point to 5.074%, the 30-year was little changed at 5.422%, and the 2-year fell 1 basis point to 4.731%. September producer prices rose 6.3% year on year, the biggest gain since 2022 and above the 5.5% Dow Jones economists expected, while CPI rose 0.6% for the month and 3.7% annually, against estimates of 0.6% and 3.6%, driven largely by energy prices amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war. Warsh declined to signal whether the Fed will hike again this month, and the CME FedWatch Tool shows traders pricing an 87% chance the Fed holds rates.
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: medium
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/15/2026 | 101.98 |
| Change that session | -0.53% |
QQQ
▼ Likely negativeInvesco QQQ Trust
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/15/2026 | 728.00 |
| Change that session | -0.13% |
SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/15/2026 | 771.79 |
| Change that session | +0.28% |
XAU/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: low
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/15/2026 | 4,170.88 |
| Change that session | +1.59% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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