News · Yahoo Finance

Will Interest Rates or Chips Decide the AI Trade?

On October 19, Jim Cramer said on Mad Money that investors should focus more on interest rates than on whether GPUs hold their value, and set a warning level at a 30-year Treasury yield above 6%. The 30-year yield closed at 5.48% that day, after reaching 5.67% on October 7. The article cites rising pressure on AI infrastructure: Oracle's interest expense rose 55% to $1.4 billion in fiscal Q1 2027 with free cash flow of −$5.4 billion, and Equinix expects its blended cost of capital to rise about 150 basis points. Panelists also flagged a duration mismatch, with long-term debt backed by contracts customers can walk away from, as when Microsoft vacated a UK lease that Anthropic reportedly took over. Nvidia's finance chief projected top-five hyperscaler capex of nearly $800 billion in 2026 and $1.3 trillion in 2027, so a growth slowdown could hit stock prices hard.

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