The Fed announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET today, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow, and futures and prediction markets put the odds of a hold above 90%. The target range is 3.75%–4.00% after September's 12-0 hike, and inflation was 3.7% in the 12 months through September, with oil near $100 a barrel. Hiring is slowing, with employers adding just 29,000 jobs in September against forecasts of about 90,000. Higher inflation pushes up Treasury yields, with the 10-year near 5% after peaking at 5.31% on Oct. 5, which pulls money from riskier assets, and bitcoin trades around $80,700. Markets give 75% to 80% odds of another quarter-point hike at the Dec. 8-9 meeting, and analysts call the likely outcome a 'hawkish hold'.
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Fedinterest ratesinflationbitcoinKevin Warsh
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Related tickers and likely impact
BTC/USDT
• NeutralBitcoin
Relevance: high
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/27/2026 | 80,909.77 |
| Change that session | +0.95% |
DXY
• NeutralRelevance: high
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/27/2026 | 102.37 |
| Change that session | +0.35% |
XAU/USD
• NeutralRelevance: medium
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/27/2026 | 4,060.32 |
| Change that session | +1.07% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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