News · Yahoo Finance

Interest Rates Should Remain Unchanged Today, but at Least 3 Federal Reserve Rate Hikes Are Expected by September 2027

The FOMC, led by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, will announce its decision at 2 p.m. ET on Oct. 28, with odds of keeping the federal funds rate at 3.75%-4.00% near 91%, up from 29% a month earlier. Per the CME FedWatch Tool, for the Sept. 15, 2027 meeting, the odds are nearly 56% that rates rise by at least 75 basis points. The article says Warsh and former Fed Chair Jerome Powell have identified tariffs under President Trump as lifting consumer prices, while the FOMC also points to the Iran war's disruption of the Strait of Hormuz and the AI infrastructure build-out. Import prices for computer and electronic products rose 7.4% in the first six months of 2026 to 77.1 points, the highest since January 2016, while September CPI rose 3.7% year over year. Because part of the AI build-out is debt-financed, the article warns that higher borrowing costs or slower data center construction could hit the stock market hard.

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