Although the stock market has posted strong returns under President Trump, the article argues his inflation-driving policies may be the biggest threat to the AI-driven bull market. A New York Federal Reserve report by three economists finds that by February 2026, tariffs had added 2.9 percentage points to goods price inflation, and each percentage point increase in average tariffs lifted consumer prices by about a quarter of a point after one year. Beyond tariffs, the Iran war and the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed fuel prices sharply higher, with fuel oil up 74.0% and gasoline up 34.2% over the past year, while overall CPI rose 3.7%. The article warns that persistent inflation could prompt the Fed to raise rates more aggressively, slowing AI infrastructure investment and sending stocks lower.
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inflationtariffsDonald TrumpFedinterest rates
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: low
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/19/2026 | 101.98 |
| Change that session | +0.20% |
SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/19/2026 | 766.48 |
| Change that session | +0.42% |
XAU/USD
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/19/2026 | 4,140.75 |
| Change that session | -0.60% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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