US Fed likely to hold rates in October , hike by 25 bps by year - end : CareEdge Global

Keywords

Fedinterest ratesUS dollargold

Open a keyword to see other news on the same topic.

Related tickers and likely impact

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

• US Fed likely to hold rates in October , hike by 25 bps by year - end : CareEdge Global

  CareEdge Global expects the US Federal Reserve to hold rates steady in October before resuming tightening, with markets pricing in a further 25 bps hike by end-2026 and cumulative tightening of 75 bps by mid-2027. The agency said the Fed's outlook turned increasingly hawkish through 2026, culminating in a 25 bps hike in September, as geopolitical tensions, elevated inflation, Kevin Warsh's August speech and hot September CPI and PPI readings reinforced expectations. CME FedWatch data showed a 78.4% probability the federal funds rate stays at 3.75-4.00% in October, versus 21.6% for 4.00-4.25%, and a 68.1% probability of 4.00-4.25% by December. CareEdge also warned that higher rates could strain US public finances, with gross interest payments already around 19% of government revenue in 2025, and flagged investment uncertainty in Mexico (USMCA review, judicial reforms) and Brazil (presidential race, fiscal approaches).

  israelherald.com·17/10, 11:15▲ DXY▼ EUR/USD▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDTFedinterest ratesgold
• Will the Fed Raise Rates This Month? Here's What Markets Say.

  The latest CPI report showed September inflation came in hotter than expected: headline CPI rose 3.7% year over year and 0.6% from August, while core CPI rose 2.6% year over year and 0.3% monthly. This suggests the Fed could hike for a second straight time at its Oct. 27-28 meeting. However, futures traders price an 85.1% chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.75% to 4% in October and a 74.1% chance it resumes hiking in early December. The two-year Treasury yield has eased to 4.73% from 4.93% in September, signaling lower expectations for hikes, though it remains above the current rate. The author notes that stocks tend to perform better when the Fed moves slowly, and sees new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, in the role since May, as an incrementalist.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 13:42▲ DXY▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDFedinterest ratesgold
• Gold Prices Rise Above $4,200 in Futures Trading as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Ease

  Gold rose above $4,200 an ounce in US futures on Monday as traders scaled back expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike after comments from Chair Kevin Warsh. Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,180.29, while US gold futures rose 0.5% to $4,200.92. The implied probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the next meeting fell below 20%, after US inflation data released the previous week exceeded expectations. Silver, platinum and palladium also gained, while the US Dollar Index was roughly flat at 101.80. ANZ maintains a positive long-term view and expects gold to rise above $5,000 an ounce during 2027, though elevated bond yields and a strong dollar could pressure prices in the near term.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 09:12▲ XAU/USD▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▼ DXYgoldXAUUSDFed
• US Fed likely to hold rates in October, hike by 25 bps by year-end: CareEdge Globalmiddleeaststar.com·17/10, 13:45▲ DXY▼ XAU/USD▼ BTC/USDT▼ EUR/USDFedinterest ratesUS dollar
• US Fed likely to hold rates in October , hike by 25 bps by year - end : CareEdge Globalazerbaijannews.net·17/10, 13:30▲ DXY▼ EUR/USD▼ PAXG/USDT▲ USD/JPYFedinterest ratesUS dollar
• Stocks to Buy : 23 Defensive Plays As US Economy Slows , Bull Market Falters

  Goldman Sachs warns US stocks face a tougher 2027 as both economic growth and earnings growth slow. Q3 GDP is tracking 3.6% per the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow, down from over 6% earlier this summer. Goldman forecasts S&P 500 earnings growth falling from about 29% in 2026 to 18% in 2027, while market breadth has narrowed: 84% of index stocks trade at least 10% below their all-time highs, according to The Kobeissi Letter. Goldman highlights consumer-facing laggards, health care and consumer staples as areas of opportunity, since these have historically held up when growth is positive but decelerating. It lists 23 defensive stocks from those sectors, citing low realized volatility and high free cash flow yields.

  businessinsider.com·19/10, 16:15▼ SPY▼ DXY▼ QQQGoldman SachsS&P 500earnings

Related markets

Currencies →Crypto →Gold →US stocks →

Latest news

• Zinc and lead prices surge, and one stock hits its ceiling price after 14 sessions with almost no trading

  TMG shares of Kim loại màu Thái Nguyên (Vimico) rose 15% to VND 74,700 per share on 19/10, their highest level in over 7 months, although only 1,400 shares changed hands after 14 sessions with almost no trading. In Q3/2026, net revenue reached VND 443 billion (up 69%) and after-tax profit reached VND 67 billion, four times the year-earlier level, driven by higher prices for zinc ingots, lead concentrate and sulfuric acid. For the first nine months, after-tax profit reached VND 149 billion (up 187%), while total financial debt fell from VND 83 billion to VND 44 billion. TMG will pay a 2026 interim cash dividend at 30% (VND 3,000 per share), with a last registration date of 22/10/2026 and total payments of about VND 54 billion expected on 30/10/2026. Vimico holds 51% of charter capital and is expected to receive about VND 27.54 billion.

  CafeF·19/10, 17:04TMGdividendsearnings
• More than US$1 billion set to flow into stocks: has the time to deploy arrived?

  BSC (BIDV Securities) maintains that valuations across many sectors have become more attractive, making now a reasonable time to allocate to stocks for the medium to long term. Market-wide profits rose 50% year on year in Q2 2026, and BSC raised its 2026 profit growth forecast to 26% and expects 12% growth in 2027. The VN-Index's trailing 12-month P/E, excluding the Vingroup group, is 10.5x, while the 2027 forward P/E is about 9.5x, a discount of nearly 30% to the average. Liquidity remains the main bottleneck, though banking-system liquidity pressure has begun to ease and the probability of rate cuts in 2027 has risen. Foreign outflows are expected to ease, with about VND 33,000 billion (US$1.27 billion) of inflows from the market upgrade expected mainly in 2027.

  CafeF·19/10, 17:04▲ VNINDEXVNINDEXvaluationcapital flows
• One securities firm's Q3 profit unexpectedly 'evaporates' by 98% year on year

  CTCP Chứng khoán DSC (DSC) reported Q3/2026 operating revenue of nearly VND 161 billion, down 38%, leaving pre-tax profit at just VND 4.2 billion, down 98%. The main cause was proprietary trading: gains from selling FVTPL financial assets dropped over 99% to about VND 604 million, while revaluation losses reached VND 55 billion. Operating expenses rose 93% to VND 75 billion, and financial expenses climbed 67% to VND 69 billion, all of which was interest expense, while brokerage revenue fell 64% to VND 15 billion. For the first nine months, pre-tax profit reached VND 97 billion, down nearly 67%.

  CafeF·19/10, 17:03DSCbrokeragesearnings
• Securities companies' update as of morning 20/10: Q3 financial reports pour in, and several major names unexpectedly report profit declines

  As of the morning of 20/10, 31 securities companies had released their Q3/2026 financial statements with mixed results, and some saw profits drop 80-98% year on year. VIX reported Q3 pre-tax profit of about VND 192 billion, down 94%, as gains from selling FVTPL assets fell sharply, revaluation losses reached nearly VND 1,363 billion, and operating expenses rose to over VND 1,744 billion. BVSC's pre-tax profit was about VND 20 billion, down 80%, while ABS rose 552% to VND 376 billion, driven by FVTPL gains of nearly VND 412 billion. KIS edged up 2% to VND 248 billion on lower costs, while BMS and AIS swung to losses of over VND 63 billion and about VND 3 billion, respectively.

  CafeF·19/10, 17:03▼ VNINDEXVNINDEXbrokeragesearnings
• Securities firm names 2 companies directly benefiting from proposed fertilizer export tax cut

  MBS views the Ministry of Finance's proposal to cut export tariffs on urea, superphosphate and sulphate of potash (SOP) from 5% to 0% as a positive factor for the fertilizer sector, though the effective date has not yet been set. Đạm Cà Mau (DCM) is seen as the biggest beneficiary, with estimated savings of about VND 203 billion per year (9.2% of 2025 pre-tax profit), as urea accounted for about 59.7% of its sales volume in the first eight months of 2026. Đạm Phú Mỹ (DPM) is estimated to save about VND 93 billion per year (6.9%), a smaller benefit than DCM. LAS's benefit is limited, DDV does not benefit directly, and BFC could face cost pressure if domestic urea prices rise.

  CafeF·19/10, 17:01taxesexportsfertilizers
• Why Palantir Technologies Stock Rallied Today

  Palantir Technologies (PLTR) shares rose sharply on Monday morning, reaching as much as 5.9% and still up 5.5% as of 12:19 p.m. ET. The catalyst was a new partnership with Knox Systems, a managed federal and Department of Defense cloud provider, which aims to help customers gain FedRAMP acceptance faster and deploy Palantir's data and AI platform in secure government environments. The article notes that concerns about AI adoption had weighed on the stock, which trades at 83 times next year's expected earnings. However, given Palantir's triple-digit profit growth, its PEG ratio is 0.5.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 16:51PLTRartificial intelligencecloud computing