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Anthropic Is 'Betting Its Entire Existence On Optimism': Michael Burry Flags Risks After AI Firm's Updated S-1, Says Won't Pursue IPO Shares

Michael Burry says Anthropic would need 'supernormal' growth to meet its contractual commitments, and he will not seek an allocation in the upcoming IPO. By his calculation, total commitments are $1.05 trillion to $1.07 trillion, above the disclosed $895.4 billion, because the figure excludes contracts tied to AMD, Google and SpaceX. To cover projected payments of $101 billion in 2027, $112 billion in 2028 and $127 billion in 2029, the company would need 11.6% sequential monthly revenue growth through 2027. Q3 sales rose 47% sequentially, slowing from 144% in Q2 and 132% in Q1. He also notes that the $120.5 billion SpaceXAI contract is outside the S-1 obligation tables, so near-term spending over 12 months could exceed $100.8 billion rather than the reported $69.8 billion.

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Original headline: Anthropic Is ‘Betting Its Entire Existence On Optimism’: Michael Burry Flags Risks After AI Firm’s Updated S-1, Says Won’t Pursue IPO Shares

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