The S&P 500 stood at 7,564.8, up 0.30%, at 3:09 PM EST on Election Day, Nov 3, 2026. Since 1950, the index has never been negative in the 12 months after a midterm election, with an average gain of about 14.8%. Over roughly 14 months from the last full week before the election, it rose in all 19 cycles, averaging +20.3% with a median of +22.3% and a weakest result of +1.3%. UBS notes choppy trading usually comes first, with a median decline of 1.4% into early October, though the late August to March window averaged +14.5%. The index currently sits below its 20, 50 and 100-day averages (about 7,705, 7,693 and 7,619), with a Strong Sell technical gauge, and the article stresses the pattern is not a guarantee.
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S&P 500midterm electionsSPYQQQtechnical analysis
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Related tickers and likely impact
SPY
▲ Likely positiveSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 11/02/2026 | 752.10 |
| Change that session | -0.48% |
QQQ
▲ Likely positiveInvesco QQQ Trust
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 11/02/2026 | 681.13 |
| Change that session | -1.36% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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