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BTC/USDT
• NeutralBitcoin
Relevance: low
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/25/2026 | 80,154.09 |
| Change that session | -0.91% |
SPY
• NeutralSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/23/2026 | 759.97 |
| Change that session | -0.52% |
XAU/USD
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/23/2026 | 3,995.78 |
| Change that session | -0.72% |
DXY
• NeutralRelevance: low
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/23/2026 | 101.74 |
| Change that session | +0.11% |
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Related news
- A bigger-than-expected win for Democrats in the midterms could deliver 'short-lived weakness' for stocks, strategists say
- US stance on Ukraine and Iran could reverse if President Trump's party loses midterm elections
Independent analysts say the Democrats have a strong chance to win the House and possibly the Senate in the November 3 midterm elections, ending two years of Republican control of Congress. A Democratic-led Congress could cut defense spending to force Trump to seek lawmakers' approval before continuing the Iran war he launched on February 28 without authorization, and could require officials to testify publicly. It could pass new Ukraine aid packages with the two-thirds majority needed to override a veto, after Trump largely suspended direct US aid and lifted sanctions on Russian diesel. Support for Israel has fallen among Democrats, with nearly half of House Democrats voting this summer to cut aid, which totaled $3.8 billion in the latest fiscal year, more than any other country. Democrats have also blocked Trump's proposed 67% increase in military spending to $1,500 billion in the Senate, and want to restore billions in foreign aid that the president has withheld or canceled.
- One week out, prediction markets see Democrats as favored to sweep Congress
With the 2026 U.S. midterms one week from Tuesday, Kalshi traders put a 63% chance on Democrats winning control of both the House and Senate, odds that have been relatively stable since early October. Kalshi gives just under 10% to Republicans sweeping both chambers and 29% to Democrats taking the House while Republicans keep the Senate. On Polymarket, Democrats have a 65% chance to sweep both houses. The article notes prediction markets do not use traditional polling methods and are not substitutes for polls, which broadly show Democrats favored in the House popular vote and competitive in several Senate races in red states. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has questioned those findings, saying “the polling is inaccurate.”
- Donald Trump will be humiliated within days , but the midterm elections will be good news for share prices , says HAMISH MCRAE
Columnist Hamish McRae argues that the US midterm elections, nine days away, are likely to be good for share prices even though Democrats may win the House. The S&P 500 has risen in every 12-month period after midterms since 1950, averaging a 15% gain, with the largest rise at 43% after 1954 and the smallest at 3% after 1986, a period that included the Black Monday crash of October 19, 1987. He notes that Wall Street tends to favour a divided Congress and that S&P 500 member earnings are up 29% year on year. For the UK, London shares tend to follow New York, since Britain accounts for about 3% of global equities versus more than half for the US, and UK investors typically hold more than half of their equity holdings in US stocks.
- Prediction: The Stock Market Will Soar After Midterm Elections
The author predicts the stock market will soar in the months after the midterm elections on Nov. 3 in the U.S., though he has plenty of reservations about the current market, particularly given AI and the bull market nearing its fourth year. According to JPMorgan, since 1950 the S&P 500 has been positive over the 12 months following every midterm election, with an average gain of roughly 15%, but since the turn of the century the index has rarely hit that average. Kalshi gives Democrats over a 91% chance of reclaiming the House and a 67% chance of taking the Senate. The author says a Democratic-controlled Congress could make it harder for President Donald Trump to continue the Iran war, and a quicker end would reopen the Strait of Hormuz and bring gas prices and inflation down, though such a Congress may oppose data centers critical to AI. He also argues that political gridlock could limit major legislation that catches the market off guard, since Trump retains veto power.
- U . S . Senate candidate Peltola calls the economy the only plot line that matters
Former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola, a Democrat, has made the economy her top priority in her close race against Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska, where spending has topped $100 million. She says rising prices for fuel, food, health insurance, utilities and rent are voters' main concern, and has said the Iran war should not progress in order to ease energy costs. Her proposals include eliminating income taxes for Americans earning less than $92,000 a year by raising taxes on the ultra-wealthy, increasing the Child Tax Credit and making Social Security solvent. Economists say Alaskans are feeling squeezed by record-high diesel and heating fuel prices, and Peltola cited a Selawik household with a $1,500 electric bill. Sullivan, who has backed the president's policies and argues he has cut taxes and expanded oil drilling, has an estimated net worth of $8.2 million, partly from holdings in RPM International.
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UPS shares rose 5% to $105.01 in the afternoon session after the company reported third-quarter 2026 adjusted EPS of $1.69 and revenue of $22.85 billion, up 6.7% year over year, both above analyst expectations. UPS raised its full-year outlook, now expecting revenue of about $92.6 billion, and guided to fourth-quarter 2026 revenue of about $25.7 billion and adjusted operating profit of about $3.3 billion. The U.S. Domestic segment's operating margin rose 60 basis points to 7%, small and midsize business customers made up a record 35.1% of U.S. volume, and the International segment returned to year-over-year operating profit growth. Supply chain profit fell from a year earlier even as revenue grew, and a goodwill impairment tied to the segment weighed on reported results. The company expects its Efficiency Reimagined program to deliver nearly $3 billion in benefits this year, while FedEx (FDX) rose 2% to $306.15 and C.H. Robinson (CHRW) gained 0.6%.
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