According to CoinDesk data, bitcoin rose an average of 53.7% in the 12 months after the past three U.S. midterm elections, excluding 2010, while the S&P 500 has averaged a 15.17% gain in the year after midterms since 1950, according to Hartford Funds. The article notes that bitcoin's four-year halving cycle may better explain those rallies, since its bear markets played out in midterm years: 2014, 2018, 2022 and now 2026. Ahead of the Nov. 3 midterms, a Democratic takeover of at least one chamber of Congress could intensify disputes over federal debt, defense spending and President Donald Trump's crypto ties, though markets have largely priced in divided government. Bitcoin is trading around $80,000 after bouncing more than 35% from below $60,000 in June.
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bitcoinmidterm electionsDonald TrumpS&P 500
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Related tickers and likely impact
BTC/USDT
▲ Likely positiveBitcoin
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/27/2026 | 80,909.77 |
| Change that session | +0.95% |
SPY
▲ Likely positiveSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: low
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/27/2026 | 769.72 |
| Change that session | +0.57% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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