News · CNBC

Brian Sullivan: Why the 'real' price of oil is likely $30-$40 higher than where it is now

According to Brian Sullivan, the real price of oil for buyers of physical barrels is $125 or more, because shipping costs have surged: a VLCC chartered from the U.S. Gulf Coast to China fetched $76 million, about 10 times its level a year ago and roughly $38 extra per barrel by his estimate. Although oil volumes through the Strait of Hormuz are near pre-war levels, freight costs remain high and show no sign of falling. The column also reports at least 14 deaths and more than 300 injuries in attacks on Riyadh's airport. On stocks, RBC says Shell (SHEL) could benefit from export margins to Europe at their widest since 2022, while Truist upgraded First Solar (FSLR) to Buy with a $270 target.

Summary written by Upside AI from the original article. Read the source for full details.

Read the original on CNBC ↗

Related tickers and likely impact

PVD

▲ Likely positive

PetroVietNam

Relevance: low

MarketVietnam stocks
ExchangeHOSE
SectorOil & Gas
IndustryOil Equipment & Services
Market cap16,421 bn VND
P/E14.8
P/B0.95
Close on 10/15/202617.70
Change that session-1.67%
PVD price, forecasts and signals →

PVT

▲ Likely positive

PVTrans

Relevance: low

MarketVietnam stocks
ExchangeHOSE
SectorIndustrial Goods & Services
IndustryMarine Transportation
Market cap12,458 bn VND
P/E8.7
P/B1.31
Close on 10/15/202623.65
Change that session-4.25%
PVT price, forecasts and signals →

VJC

▼ Likely negative

Vietjet Air

Relevance: low

MarketVietnam stocks
ExchangeHOSE
SectorTravel & Leisure
IndustryAirlines
Market cap98,060 bn VND
P/E45.0
P/B3.72
Close on 10/15/2026127.30
Change that session-0.62%
VJC price, forecasts and signals →

Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.

Related news

  • Brent crude tops $109 a barrel

    Brent crude closed down 31 cents at $109.55 a barrel on October 19 after touching $110.70 earlier, while WTI rose $2.25 to $103.66 as traders weighed possible extra Russian supply after the US eased some sanctions. Prices neared recent highs after Houthi forces, backed by Iran, claimed attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, though CNBC could not verify the claims and Saudi Arabia has not confirmed them. Saudi Arabia postponed its Future Investment Initiative (FII) conference to next year because of escalating attacks. In Russia, an oil port and storage facility in St. Petersburg caught fire after a large Ukrainian drone attack, though the extent of damage is unclear. Separately, two tankers were attacked off Saudi Arabia in the Persian Gulf, and Iran has intensified attacks on tankers in the region to disrupt crude exports.

    Vietstock·▲ PVD▼ PLX▼ VNINDEXoil pricesHouthiSaudi Arabia
  • Sensex sinks 876 points , Nifty falls 1 . 11 % as Crude oil nears USD 109

    India's Nifty 50 closed at 22,888.95, down 257.20 points or 1.11%, and the BSE Sensex fell 876.37 points or 1.17% to 73,852.90 on Monday as weakness in private banks, disappointing corporate earnings and rising crude prices weighed on sentiment. Axis Bank fell more than 4%, and almost all NSE sectoral indices closed lower, with only the Nifty PSU Bank index rising 2.41%. Brent crude traded at USD 108.50 a barrel, raising concerns about imported inflation and corporate costs. The rupee firmed for a seventh straight session to near 94.95 per dollar, but RBI reserves fell by USD 8.6 billion to USD 726 billion in the week ended October 9, a drawdown of nearly USD 60 billion since early September. Asian markets were mixed, with Japan's Nikkei down 0.64% and South Korea's KOSPI up 1.73%.

    sierraleonetimes.com·▲ PVD▲ PVT• VNINDEXIndiaoil pricesexchange rates
  • Apache strike threatens fuel supplies as pump prices hit crisis levels

    More than 160 Apache offshore workers plan a 24-hour strike from 6am on Wednesday 21 October, affecting seven Apache assets linked to the Forties and Beryl fields, with a second walkout set for 4 November if the pay dispute is unresolved. Unite warns that disruption at Apache's Charlie platform could reduce pressure enough to affect the Forties Pipeline System, operated by Ineos, which the union says accounts for around 29% of UK oil and 30% of UK gas throughput. Workers rejected a pay offer that Unite says ranges from a freeze to below-inflation rises, and talks with ACAS are due before the strike, though progress has been limited. The dispute comes as UK pump prices rise further, with petrol around 175p a litre and diesel about £2, and Brent crude touched almost $110 (£81) a barrel last week.

    energylivenews.com·▲ PVD▲ PVT▼ SPY▲ XAU/USDoil pricesfuel pricesApache
  • Liquidity Plunges as Money Exits Retail, Oil & Gas and Securities StocksVietstock·▼ VNINDEX▼ BSR▼ FRT▼ HCMVNINDEXliquiditycapital flows
  • Sensex sinks 876 points , Nifty falls 1 . 11 % as Crude oil nears USD 109irishsun.com·▼ PLX▲ PVD• VNINDEX
  • Sensex sinks 876 points , Nifty falls 1 . 11 % as Crude oil nears USD 109

    Indian stock markets closed sharply lower, with the Nifty 50 down 257.20 points (1.11%) at 22,888.95 and the BSE Sensex down 876.37 points (1.17%) at 73,852.90. Selling was widespread as weakness in private banks, earnings below expectations and rising crude prices weighed on sentiment, with Axis Bank falling more than 4%. The Nifty PSU Bank index was the only major sectoral index to end higher, rising 2.41%. Brent crude traded at USD 108.50 per barrel, while the rupee firmed for a seventh straight session near 94.95 per dollar even as RBI reserves fell USD 8.6 billion to USD 726 billion in the week to October 9.

    zimbabwestar.com·▲ PVD▲ PVT▼ VNINDEXIndiaoil pricesexchange rates

Related markets

Vietnam stocks →

Latest news

  • FinFET Technology - Global Strategic Business Report Just Released: AI and Data Centers Push FinFET Chip Market Toward $97 Billion

    According to Research and Markets, the global FinFET technology market was valued at $38.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $97.1 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 16.7%. Demand for high-performance, energy-efficient chips across consumer electronics, data centers, automotive, AI and IoT is driving growth. The CPU segment is forecast to reach $36.6 billion by 2030, while China is the fastest-growing market, with an 18% CAGR and $20.8 billion by 2030. The report also assesses the impact of tariffs on semiconductor supply chains and profiles companies including TSMC, Samsung, Intel and NVIDIA.

    Yahoo Finance·semiconductorsartificial intelligencedata centers
  • The sorrow of Europe's “big brother” economy: Bonds keep selling off heavily after a “turbulent weekend”

    French 10-year government bond yields rose 0.14 percentage points to 4.93% after a turbulent weekend, while the spread over German bonds returned to 1.47 percentage points. Nationwide protests over rising living costs and student education conditions turned into widespread rioting and looting; the government said at least 3,000 shops and businesses were looted, and the French retail federation estimated damages could reach “several hundred million euros.” More than 2,500 people are under formal investigation, 67 of them detained, and several cities have imposed curfews. President Macron rejected Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez’s resignation offer, even though Nuñez admitted police were deployed too thinly for protests of over 550,000 people, against an expected 200,000. Opposition politicians and the mayors of Paris and Marseille criticized the government for letting police lose control of the situation.

    CafeF·▼ EUR/USD▲ DXY▲ XAU/USDbondsFranceprotests
  • President Donald Trump Claims, "We Don't Have Inflation, and Tariffs Don't Cause Inflation," but a New Report Strongly Disagrees

    Although the stock market has posted strong returns under President Trump, the article argues his inflation-driving policies may be the biggest threat to the AI-driven bull market. A New York Federal Reserve report by three economists finds that by February 2026, tariffs had added 2.9 percentage points to goods price inflation, and each percentage point increase in average tariffs lifted consumer prices by about a quarter of a point after one year. Beyond tariffs, the Iran war and the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz have pushed fuel prices sharply higher, with fuel oil up 74.0% and gasoline up 34.2% over the past year, while overall CPI rose 3.7%. The article warns that persistent inflation could prompt the Fed to raise rates more aggressively, slowing AI infrastructure investment and sending stocks lower.

    Yahoo Finance·▲ DXY• SPY• XAU/USDinflationtariffsDonald Trump
  • Bitcoin ETFs just saw their biggest day in a month thanks entirely to BlackRock

    U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs took in $526.6 million on Monday, the largest daily net inflow in nearly a month, driven entirely by BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which pulled in $665.2 million, its biggest daily inflow since Oct. 7 last year, according to SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FBTC lost $83.6 million and Grayscale's GBTC shed $54.9 million, while the remaining funds recorded no net flows. The inflow more than erased last week's $228.5 million of withdrawals, but funds remain about $90.5 million in net outflows for October, according to CoinDesk calculations. Ether funds moved the opposite way, losing $103.3 million in their fourth consecutive session of outflows, with BlackRock's ETHA accounting for $95.4 million of that.

    CoinDesk·▲ BTC/USDTbitcoinETFcapital flows
  • A Big4 bank cut deposit rates in the morning, then raised them again in the afternoon

    VietinBank cut its deposit rates for terms of 6 months and longer on the morning of Oct. 20, then restored them to pre-adjustment levels by the afternoon. Its afternoon rate board showed 3.5% per year for 6 to under 12 months, 5.9% for 12 to under 24 months and 6% for 24 months and longer, versus 3%, 5.4% and 5.5% in the morning. Rates for terms under 6 months stayed unchanged, including 2.1% for 1 to under 3 months and 2.4% for 3 to under 6 months. The move came as banks followed the State Bank of Vietnam's guidance to cut deposit rates by at least 0.5 percentage points for terms of 6 months and longer, and Vietcombank and Agribank were among those reducing rates.

    CafeF·• BID• CTG• VCBinterest ratesbanksState Bank of Vietnam
  • IVV vs. SPY: Which S&P 500 ETF Is the Better Buy for Long-Term Investors?

    The article compares two ETFs that track the S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which have nearly identical holdings. The main difference is the expense ratio: IVV charges 0.03% a year, one-third of SPY's 0.09%, and its distribution yield is about 1.1% versus 1% for SPY. SPY's high liquidity remains valuable for active traders. The article concludes that IVV is the better choice for long-term investors, since lower costs can compound over time.

    Yahoo Finance·ETFS&P 500IVV

All news →

Get the briefing on Telegram or Zalo

Join the Upside Telegram channel or Zalo group for the Vietnam stocks and gold briefing at 8:00 and 19:00 (Vietnam time) on trading days, plus a weekly wrap on Saturday morning.