A CNBC survey of 30 fund managers, strategists and economists found 93% expect the Fed to pause at this week's meeting, while 76% anticipate a rate hike in December. More than half expect the Fed to hike about two times next year. Respondents forecast GDP growth of 2.4% this year and a 26% risk of recession in the next year, with CPI easing from 3.7% to 3.6% this year and 2.6% in 2027. The 10-year Treasury yield is expected to stay above 5% this year and dip to 4.8% in 2027.
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: high
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/26/2026 | 102.02 |
| Change that session | +0.27% |
SPY
▼ Likely negativeSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/26/2026 | 765.37 |
| Change that session | +0.71% |
QQQ
▼ Likely negativeInvesco QQQ Trust
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/26/2026 | 712.20 |
| Change that session | +1.11% |
BTC/USDT
▼ Likely negativeBitcoin
Relevance: low
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/26/2026 | 80,150.56 |
| Change that session | 0.00% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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