Fazurin Jamaludin, IMF Resident Representative in Vietnam and Laos, expects global growth in 2027 to be slightly better than in 2026, under a baseline scenario where the Strait of Hormuz stays closed until March next year. Vietnam is exposed to energy shocks but also stands to benefit from AI, so it needs to prepare its legal framework, energy infrastructure and human resources. Over the long term, the IMF says Vietnam and Ho Chi Minh City should prioritize 3 structural issues, the most notable being a recent downward trend in total factor productivity (TFP). Data collection and provision also lag behind rapid growth, making it harder for investors to assess Vietnam's potential. The IMF projects Vietnam's 2026 GDP growth at 8.2%, while official statistics show 9.01% growth in the first 9 months and the government targets 10% for the full year.
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Original headline: Chuyên gia IMF: Việt Nam cần cải thiện năng suất và dữ liệu
Read the original on VnExpress ↗
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IMFGDP growthVietnamStrait of Hormuz
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| Market | Vietnam stocks |
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| Close on 10/26/2026 | 1,763.55 |
| Change that session | -0.60% |
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