A Reuters poll from October 16–20 found 94 of 100 economists expect the Fed to hold its 3.75–4% rate at the October 27–28 meeting, yet all 100 forecast a hike in December, after a 0.25-point increase in September. Alex Pelle of Mizuho Securities argues the Fed has not regained the initiative against inflation, which has stayed above the 2% target for nearly six years and is not expected to return to 2% before 2028. Nearly 60% of respondents see the peak rate at 4–4.25%, and 38 of 92 forecasters expect at least two more hikes, well above about 20% in the September survey. Oil above $100 a barrel and new tariffs are pressuring consumers, although second-quarter GDP grew 2.2%, supported by AI investment. UBS's Abigail Watt warns that consumer resilience may be concentrated among high-income households that benefit from stock market gains.
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Original headline: Fed chuẩn bị tăng lãi suất lần nữa?
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Fedinterest ratesinflationoil pricestariffs
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Related tickers and likely impact
DXY
▲ Likely positiveRelevance: high
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 101.70 |
| Change that session | -0.28% |
XAU/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: high
| Market | Gold |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 4,125.21 |
| Change that session | -0.38% |
BTC/USDT
▼ Likely negativeBitcoin
Relevance: medium
| Market | Crypto |
|---|---|
| Exchange | Binance |
| Sector | Layer 1 |
| Market cap | $1.6T |
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 83,028.15 |
| Change that session | +1.33% |
EUR/USD
▼ Likely negativeRelevance: medium
| Market | Currencies |
|---|---|
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 1.12376 |
| Change that session | +0.22% |
QQQ
▼ Likely negativeInvesco QQQ Trust
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 717.63 |
| Change that session | -0.10% |
SPY
▼ Likely negativeSPDR S&P 500 ETF
Relevance: medium
| Market | US stocks |
|---|---|
| Sector | ETF |
| Close on 10/20/2026 | 769.05 |
| Change that session | +0.34% |
Impact is scored by AI from the headline and may be wrong. It is not investment advice.
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