US Fed likely to hold rates in October , hike by 25 bps by year - end : CareEdge Global

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• Gold Prices Rise Above $4,200 in Futures Trading as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Ease

  Gold rose above $4,200 an ounce in US futures on Monday as traders scaled back expectations of another Federal Reserve rate hike after comments from Chair Kevin Warsh. Spot gold gained 0.4% to $4,180.29, while US gold futures rose 0.5% to $4,200.92. The implied probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the next meeting fell below 20%, after US inflation data released the previous week exceeded expectations. Silver, platinum and palladium also gained, while the US Dollar Index was roughly flat at 101.80. ANZ maintains a positive long-term view and expects gold to rise above $5,000 an ounce during 2027, though elevated bond yields and a strong dollar could pressure prices in the near term.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 09:12▲ XAU/USD▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▼ DXYgoldXAUUSDFed
• US Dollar Price Forecast: Fed Hike Bets Fade, DXY Tests 102.18 as EUR/USD, GBP/USD Slip

  The dollar softened as bets on an October Fed hike faded: Deutsche Bank strategists put the probability of a hike next month at about 15%, down from 30%, while CME FedWatch shows roughly an 84% chance the Fed holds at its October 27-28 meeting. Still, traders price about a 92% chance of a December hike. The euro is weighed down by political and fiscal worries in France, while sterling is holding up ahead of UK inflation data on October 21st and the Autumn budget on October 28, which will test the case for a Bank of England hike in November. The DXY is trading around 102.01, testing 102.18 resistance with 101.77 support below.

  Yahoo Finance·19/10, 08:27▲ DXY▼ EUR/USD▼ GBP/USD▼ XAU/USDUS dollarFedinterest rates
• Gold bar prices fall to lowest level in over two months

  Domestic gold bar prices fell to around 142 million VND per tael this morning, the lowest since August 5, following the global decline. SJC was quoted at 139–142 million VND per tael, down 1.1 million from the previous close, and other brands adjusted similarly. Global gold closed the October 19 session at USD 4,139 per ounce and slipped to USD 4,135 this morning, equal to about 130 million VND per tael, leaving domestic prices roughly 12 million VND higher. Investors are awaiting monetary policy signals from the Federal Reserve's meeting next week, while a stronger US dollar and higher US Treasury yields add pressure.

  VnExpress·20/10, 02:41▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▼ XAU/USDgoldXAUUSDFed
• Gold remains supported as real yields fall amid growth concerns . What to watch next ?investinglive.com·19/10, 08:15▲ PAXG/USDT▲ XAUT/USDT▲ XAU/USD▼ DXYgoldXAUUSDUS dollar
• Gold Prices Fall for Third Day as Oil Surge Fuels Fed Rate Hike Fears

  Spot gold slipped to $4,137.84 an ounce by 02:22 GMT, its third straight daily decline, while December futures fell 0.1% to $4,165.34. Brent crude stayed above $109 a barrel after hitting $110.70, a five-month high, on fears of Middle East supply disruptions following attacks on Saudi energy infrastructure that Yemen's Houthi group claimed. CME FedWatch showed markets pricing an 83% chance the Fed holds rates at its Oct. 27-28 meeting and 94% odds of a December rate increase. U.S. September CPI rose 3.7%, adding to inflation concerns. Spot silver gained 0.1% to $57.1325 an ounce and platinum rose 0.5% to $1,650.65.

  econotimes.com·20/10, 04:00▼ XAU/USD▼ PAXG/USDT▼ XAUT/USDT▲ DXYgoldXAUUSDFed
• Gold Bar and Plain Gold Ring Prices at Midday 19/10 at SJC, PNJ, DOJI, Bao Tin Minh Chau and Bao Tin Manh Hai All Fall Together

  At the midday update on 19/10, domestic gold prices fell across the board by 500–800 thousand VND per tael. Early on 19/10, gold bars at SJC, PNJ, DOJI and Bao Tin Manh Hai were quoted at 140.6–143.6 million VND per tael, while Bao Tin Minh Chau was at 138.6–143.6 million. From 16/10, gold businesses must use non-cash payment for buy and sell transactions of 5 million VND or more per day under Decree 390/2026/NĐ-CP. Internationally, gold traded around 4,160–4,180 USD per ounce as investors watched U.S. economic data and the Fed's rate outlook, and the market still leans toward the Fed holding rates at its October 27–28 meeting. S&P Global's preliminary October composite PMI is being watched as a signal of inflation pressure.

  CafeF·19/10, 04:19▼ PNJ▼ XAU/USDgoldXAUUSDPNJ

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• Agricultural firms struggle to secure long - term financing despite preferential credit

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  econotimes.com·20/10, 06:00• EUR/USDGermanyFriedrich Merzpublic spending
• High bond yields could more than double drag on US growth in 2027: Goldman Sachs

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  indiagazette.com·20/10, 06:00▼ QQQ▼ SPY▲ DXY▼ XAU/USDinterest ratesGDP growthbonds
• Brooks Says French Bond Strain Has Reached Eurozone Periphery

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