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- Why are some food prices up and others down ? Here are the stories of 5 items
- Food Prices Face Fresh Pressure Into 2027 as Shipping Disruption and Drought Hit Supplies
Global food prices face renewed pressure into 2027 as shipping disruption, higher fertiliser costs and drought threaten supplies of wheat, rice and other staples. The FAO Food Price Index averaged 136.0 points in September 2026, its highest since November 2022, rising 1.5% from August, led by cereals, sugar and vegetable oils. Wheat prices have risen more than 30% in 2026, Asian rice export prices are up 10% to 13%, and freight rates on some key routes have climbed about 50%. The Food and Drink Federation (FDF) forecasts UK annual food and non-alcoholic drink inflation of 3.9% in December 2026, averaging 5.5% in 2027 and peaking at 6.4% in July, while the IGD projects 5.6% to 6.6% for 2027. Official ONS figures show UK food inflation of just 1.3% in August 2026, and the FDF says outcomes could differ depending on household spending, competition, and developments in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine or extreme weather.
- Global food inflation expected to intensify , persist into 2027
Global food prices are expected to accelerate in the coming months and persist into 2027, as war-related shipping disruptions and El Niño-driven drought strain cereal supplies. Rice prices in Indonesia have hit record highs, bread in Egypt has risen by a quarter, and sugar prices in India reached an all-time high. According to the World Bank, food prices in the September quarter outpaced headline inflation in 22 per cent of the 150 countries it analyzed, up from 14 per cent in the previous quarter. The FAO Food Price Index averaged 136 points in September, its highest reading since November 2022. Analysts warn that record grain stocks are thinning and a surge in import demand could follow, raising the risk of social unrest and export bans.
- Global food prices set to climb as shipping shocks squeeze supplies
Global food prices are expected to accelerate in the coming months and stay high into 2027, as war-related shipping disruptions and El Nino-driven drought squeeze cereal supplies. Rice prices in Indonesia have hit record highs, bread costs in Egypt have risen sharply, and sugar prices in India reached an all-time high. The FAO Food Price Index averaged 136 points in September, its highest since November 2022. The World Bank found food prices in the latest quarter outpaced headline inflation in 22% of 150 countries analysed, up from 14% previously, hitting the poorest consumers hardest.
- Global food inflation is expected to intensify as supply shocks pile up
Global food inflation is expected to accelerate in the coming months and persist into 2027, as war-related shipping disruptions and El Nino-driven drought squeeze cereal supplies. The FAO Food Price Index averaged 136 points in September, its highest since November 2022, and the World Bank found food prices rose faster than headline inflation in 22% of 150 countries in the September quarter, up from 14% previously. Wheat prices are up more than 30% in 2026, rice prices in key Asian exporters have risen 10% to 13%, and Indonesia's rice prices have hit record highs. The poorest consumers in low- and middle-income countries are hit hardest, raising the risk of social unrest and export bans, and freight rates on some key routes have risen about 50%.
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