Vietnam stocks
CTG on HOSE at the 15:00 Hanoi close, in thousand dong, adjusted for dividends and splits.
All time: since 01/02/2013, the first session in Upside data.
| Previous close | 29.60 |
|---|---|
| Open (current session) | 29.55 |
| Range (current session) | |
| 52-week range | |
| Average daily range (ATR 20) | 2.01% |
| Annualised volatility (1 year) | 27.5% |
| All-time high | 42.84 · 01/12/2026 |
| All-time low | 5.40 · 12/26/2014 |
| Data since | 01/02/2013 |
Data: VNDirect, prices adjusted for dividends and splits, in thousand dong.
Common indicators on daily candles after the latest session, summarised the usual way: oscillators in oversold territory read bullish, overbought read bearish; a price above a moving average reads bullish.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 41.37 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 25.80 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -75.06 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -65.12 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -0.25 | Bearish |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.41 | Bearish |
| ADX (14), trend strength | 20.93 | Neutral |
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Simple moving average (10) | 29.71 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (10) | 29.73 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (20) | 30.15 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (20) | 30.04 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (50) | 30.93 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (50) | 30.75 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (100) | 31.83 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (100) | 31.66 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (200) | 33.79 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (200) | 32.36 | Bearish |
Change from one month-end close to the next over the last five years. The current month runs to the latest session.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +8.4% | -1.3% | -9.5% | +1.0% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -7.9% | +3.7% | -6.1% | -1.3% | ||
| 2025 | +0.5% | +9.2% | -0.1% | -10.3% | +3.0% | +9.4% | +9.5% | +11.8% | -1.0% | -2.8% | 0.0% | +5.5% |
| 2024 | +16.6% | +12.5% | 0.0% | -7.7% | -2.7% | -2.8% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +5.4% | -3.4% | +0.1% | +5.7% |
| 2023 | +11.9% | -10.2% | +6.6% | -1.2% | -2.9% | +5.4% | +1.7% | +8.2% | -7.4% | -7.8% | +6.1% | +3.0% |
| 2022 | +8.8% | -10.2% | -2.1% | -14.5% | +0.5% | -6.3% | +4.0% | +3.9% | -17.9% | +6.0% | +10.8% | 0.0% |
| Average | +9.3% | 0.0% | -1.0% | -6.5% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +7.4% | -5.4% | -1.9% | +4.3% | +3.6% |
| Months up | 100% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 80% | 100% | 20% | 20% | 75% | 75% |
Vietnam has entered a period of the sharpest rise in capital demand in years, and an expert has pointed to key capital channels ahead.
Forecast after the 10/12/2026 session
FLAT · stand aside
| Expected return | +0.06% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 29.60 |
| Valid until | 10/13/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Low confidence · Unchanged · Vietnam stocks settle T+2.5, so the 1-session horizon is shown for reference only and is not traded in the simulated book.
FLAT · stand aside
| Expected return | +0.28% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 29.60 |
| Valid until | 10/19/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Medium confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +1.14% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 29.60 |
| Stop loss | 25.72 |
| Take profit | 36.06 |
| Valid until | 11/09/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +3.73% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 29.60 |
| Stop loss | 22.89 |
| Take profit | 40.79 |
| Valid until | 01/05/2027 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
Probability of a rise and of a fall from every strategy at the latest session. The signal follows only the strategy in use; the others are tracked to see whether any of them does better.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rateTrusted | ↑33% ↓32% | ↑39% ↓32% | ↑42% ↓29% | ↑43% ↓24% |
| Momentum | ↑34% ↓31% | ↑40% ↓32% | ↑37% ↓29% | ↑52% ↓17% |
| ADX trend strength | ↑33% ↓29% | ↑38% ↓35% | ↑45% ↓31% | ↑57% ↓18% |
| Bollinger Bands | ↑33% ↓32% | ↑38% ↓33% | – | – |
| Donchian channel | ↑29% ↓33% | ↑32% ↓37% | ↑36% ↓24% | ↑44% ↓19% |
| Rule ensemble | ↑33% ↓34% | ↑41% ↓30% | ↑44% ↓25% | ↑52% ↓18% |
| MACD | ↑34% ↓28% | ↑42% ↓28% | ↑47% ↓26% | ↑43% ↓25% |
| RSI | ↑34% ↓35% | ↑40% ↓33% | ↑42% ↓25% | ↑59% ↓15% |
| Moving-average trend | ↑34% ↓32% | ↑44% ↓28% | ↑49% ↓29% | ↑47% ↓15% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | ↑33% ↓32% | ↑36% ↓33% | ↑41% ↓33% | ↑54% ↓20% |
| llm.analyst | ↑33% ↓33% | ↑37% ↓33% | ↑40% ↓31% | ↑46% ↓23% |
Brier skill against the base rate in the walk-forward backtest since 2020 (above 0 means more informative than the base rate), and live forecasts scored so far.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rate | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| ADX trend strength | -0.07% | -0.27% | -1.39% | +0.48% |
| Momentum | -0.06% | -0.16% | +0.27% | -0.95% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | +0.11% | -0.83% | -1.39% | -1.44% |
| MACD | -0.07% | -0.28% | +0.09% | -2.07% |
| Moving-average trend | -0.05% | -0.15% | -1.21% | -3.73% |
| Bollinger Bands | -0.10% | -0.14% | – | – |
| RSI | -0.12% | -0.57% | -0.21% | -1.23% |
| Donchian channel | -0.22% | -0.87% | -1.19% | -2.00% |
| Rule ensemble | -0.22% | -0.65% | -0.34% | -1.25% |
| Live: scored / waiting | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 |
| Session | Horizon | Strategy | Reference price | Result after costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2026 * | 20 sessions | LONG New | 29.50 | Open |
| 10/09/2026 * | 60 sessions | LONG New | 29.50 | Open |
* Backfilled: written after the fact, never counted as live
CTG · Expects a rise · 60 sessions
Nhiều mô hình đồng thuận khả năng hồi phục từ vùng giá thấp, nên tôi nghiêng nhẹ hơn tỷ lệ nền về tăng nhưng không theo hẳn để tránh tự tin quá mức.
CTG · Expects a rise · 5 sessions
Tỷ lệ nền nghiêng về tăng, nhưng xu hướng giảm và tin tức tiêu cực khiến tôi hạ nhẹ xác suất tăng và nâng nhẹ xác suất giảm.
CTG · Expects a rise · 20 sessions
Các mô hình phân tán quanh tỷ lệ nền, trong khi tín hiệu xu hướng còn yếu, nên tôi giữ sát tỷ lệ nền và giảm nhẹ xác suất tăng.
CTG · Neutral · 1 session
Một phiên có nhiều nhiễu và các mô hình không cho tín hiệu rõ, nên tôi bám tỷ lệ nền, chỉ nhích nhẹ xác suất giảm vì tin tức thận trọng.
CTG closed at 29.60 in the 10/12/2026 session, +0.34% from the previous session.
In Upside data since 01/02/2013, the highest level of CTG was 42.84, in the 01/12/2026 session.
In Upside data since 01/02/2013, the lowest level of CTG was 5.40, in the 12/26/2014 session.
Over the last 252 sessions CTG changed -16.37%, trading between 28.40 and 42.84. A typical daily range is about 2.01% of the price.