Vietnam stocks
HPG on HOSE at the 15:00 Hanoi close, in thousand dong, adjusted for dividends and splits.
All time: since 01/02/2013, the first session in Upside data.
| Previous close | 20.70 |
|---|---|
| Open (current session) | 20.70 |
| Range (current session) | |
| 52-week range | |
| Average daily range (ATR 20) | 2.09% |
| Annualised volatility (1 year) | 26.6% |
| All-time high | 29.89 · 10/18/2021 |
| All-time low | 0.99 · 01/02/2013 |
| Data since | 01/02/2013 |
Data: VNDirect, prices adjusted for dividends and splits, in thousand dong.
Common indicators on daily candles after the latest session, summarised the usual way: oscillators in oversold territory read bullish, overbought read bearish; a price above a moving average reads bullish.
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 48.62 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14, 3, 3) | 42.18 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -15.18 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -31.25 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | 0.50 | Bullish |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | -0.31 | Bullish |
| ADX (14), trend strength | 27.76 | Neutral |
| Indicator | Value | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Simple moving average (10) | 20.29 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (10) | 20.41 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (20) | 20.64 | Bullish |
| Exponential moving average (20) | 20.63 | Bullish |
| Simple moving average (50) | 21.31 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (50) | 21.22 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (100) | 22.18 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (100) | 21.95 | Bearish |
| Simple moving average (200) | 23.22 | Bearish |
| Exponential moving average (200) | 22.57 | Bearish |
Change from one month-end close to the next over the last five years. The current month runs to the latest session.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.5% | +7.5% | -6.6% | +3.2% | -3.1% | -2.9% | -6.9% | +1.8% | -8.8% | +2.7% | ||
| 2025 | -0.4% | +5.5% | -4.5% | -4.7% | +1.0% | +5.8% | +9.9% | +10.2% | +2.4% | -5.2% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 2024 | -0.7% | +11.7% | -2.4% | -6.1% | +10.8% | -1.0% | -3.9% | -6.3% | +3.3% | +2.1% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| 2023 | +22.8% | -9.5% | +4.0% | +4.1% | -2.1% | +23.4% | +7.8% | -2.1% | -4.7% | -12.5% | +15.4% | +5.3% |
| 2022 | -9.0% | +11.8% | -4.4% | -4.0% | -19.9% | -15.1% | -3.6% | +7.0% | -7.8% | -26.2% | +17.6% | -2.2% |
| Average | +2.8% | +5.4% | -2.8% | -1.5% | -2.7% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +2.1% | -3.1% | -7.8% | +8.0% | +0.5% |
| Months up | 40% | 80% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 40% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
SSI identified two sectors with favorable prospects as major construction projects start up simultaneously, which could create a 'wave' next year.
Forecast after the 10/12/2026 session
FLAT · stand aside
| Expected return | +0.06% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 20.70 |
| Valid until | 10/13/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Low confidence · Unchanged · Vietnam stocks settle T+2.5, so the 1-session horizon is shown for reference only and is not traded in the simulated book.
FLAT · stand aside
| Expected return | +0.30% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 20.70 |
| Valid until | 10/19/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
Low confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +1.39% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 20.70 |
| Stop loss | 17.79 |
| Take profit | 25.54 |
| Valid until | 11/09/2026 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
LONG · expects a rise
| Expected return | +5.05% |
|---|---|
| Reference price | 20.70 |
| Stop loss | 15.67 |
| Take profit | 29.09 |
| Valid until | 01/05/2027 |
| Signal from | Base rate |
High confidence · Unchanged
Probability of a rise and of a fall from every strategy at the latest session. The signal follows only the strategy in use; the others are tracked to see whether any of them does better.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rateTrusted | ↑34% ↓33% | ↑38% ↓33% | ↑43% ↓30% | ↑47% ↓25% |
| Momentum | ↑35% ↓33% | ↑38% ↓31% | ↑38% ↓35% | ↑37% ↓25% |
| ADX trend strength | ↑35% ↓35% | ↑36% ↓37% | ↑42% ↓31% | ↑47% ↓15% |
| Bollinger Bands | ↑35% ↓33% | ↑38% ↓33% | – | – |
| Donchian channel | ↑33% ↓36% | ↑37% ↓33% | ↑42% ↓26% | ↑40% ↓26% |
| Rule ensemble | ↑33% ↓32% | ↑38% ↓30% | ↑38% ↓39% | ↑36% ↓27% |
| MACD | ↑34% ↓32% | ↑42% ↓28% | ↑53% ↓18% | ↑46% ↓25% |
| RSI | ↑33% ↓32% | ↑36% ↓33% | ↑41% ↓29% | ↑41% ↓25% |
| Moving-average trend | ↑33% ↓34% | ↑37% ↓29% | ↑45% ↓26% | ↑36% ↓34% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | ↑27% ↓36% | ↑33% ↓41% | ↑43% ↓30% | ↑47% ↓25% |
| llm.analyst | ↑33% ↓33% | ↑36% ↓34% | ↑40% ↓32% | ↑44% ↓26% |
Brier skill against the base rate in the walk-forward backtest since 2020 (above 0 means more informative than the base rate), and live forecasts scored so far.
| Strategy | 1 session | 5 sessions | 20 sessions | 60 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base rate | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| RSI | +0.10% | +0.56% | +0.78% | +1.52% |
| Rule ensemble | +0.21% | +0.71% | +1.35% | +1.48% |
| Donchian channel | +0.09% | -0.34% | +0.56% | +1.07% |
| Momentum | -0.14% | -0.05% | +0.86% | -0.10% |
| ADX trend strength | +0.28% | +0.58% | -0.13% | -0.13% |
| Moving-average trend | -0.06% | +0.17% | +0.31% | -4.44% |
| MACD | -0.11% | -0.54% | -0.09% | +0.22% |
| Machine learning (LightGBM) | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.06% | -1.02% |
| Bollinger Bands | +0.09% | -0.05% | – | – |
| Live: scored / waiting | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 | 0 / 1 |
| Session | Horizon | Strategy | Reference price | Result after costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2026 * | 20 sessions | LONG New | 20.10 | Open |
| 10/09/2026 * | 60 sessions | LONG New | 20.10 | Open |
* Backfilled: written after the fact, never counted as live
HPG · Expects a rise · 20 sessions
Giữ thiên hướng tăng của tỷ lệ nền 42,74% nhưng hạ nhẹ, vì xu hướng trung hạn vẫn yếu.
HPG · Expects a rise · 60 sessions
Khung dài nghiêng tăng theo tỷ lệ nền. p_up được hạ nhẹ vì xu hướng giảm chưa xác nhận đảo chiều.
HPG · Expects a rise · 5 sessions
Tỷ lệ nền nghiêng tăng nhẹ, nhưng mô hình học máy và tin vĩ mô kéo xác suất về gần cân bằng.
HPG · Neutral · 1 session
Không có tín hiệu đủ mạnh, nên giữ gần tỷ lệ nền và giảm nhẹ p_up sau phiên bật mạnh.
HPG closed at 20.70 in the 10/12/2026 session, +2.99% from the previous session.
In Upside data since 01/02/2013, the highest level of HPG was 29.89, in the 10/18/2021 session.
In Upside data since 01/02/2013, the lowest level of HPG was 0.99, in the 01/02/2013 session.
Over the last 252 sessions HPG changed -20.59%, trading between 19.60 and 26.56. A typical daily range is about 2.09% of the price.